Do I ship it?

GamesLootLoot + Mythology

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Mythological Loot game?

Loot + Mythology

Of 40 developers who shipped a Mythological Loot game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 73 more are announced, ×3.8 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $2.3k, ×3.6 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $750; 1 in 20 cleared $2.6M, ×4237 the market median. Revenue is up 95% on the market; 73 games are announced against 19 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 3.6 times the market baseline, revenue up 95% on the market, 73 announced, ×3.8 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Loot + Mythology
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 40
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $101k → $11k → $21k → $1.5k → $3.6k → $2.2k → $6.5k (still earning) → $1.1k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Loot + Mythology: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 40
Bottom 30% $748 (exactly $748)
Median $2.3k (exactly $2,269)
Top 25% $51k (exactly $50,974)
Top 5% $2.7M (exactly $2,660,990)
Developers, 2 yr 40
Released games 93
Announced 73
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 95% on the market, supply 10% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 12%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Loot
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Mythology
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Loot; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry RPG, Action RPG, Adventure
Price point
$5.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.

The top 10 games average 77% positive over 25,286 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $750, median $2.3k, 1 in 4 over $50k, 1 in 20 over $2.6M.

3 in 10 developers made under $750. 7 in 10 of the 24 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 73 games are announced against 19 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.8 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Loot with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Artificial IntelligenceStrong odds28 devs · median $19k · 22 announced
  2. + Local Co-OpStrong odds22 devs · median $7.3k · 21 announced
  3. + SteampunkStrong odds7 devs · median $2.2k · 10 announced
  4. + CapitalismFair36 devs · median $14k · 52 announced
  5. + Turn-Based StrategyFair86 devs · median $6.3k · 97 announced
  6. + JRPGFair34 devs · median $5.5k · 41 announced
  7. + EconomyFair74 devs · median $4.6k · 114 announced
  8. + IdlerFair181 devs · median $4.5k · 256 announced
  9. + CatsFair17 devs · median $3.4k · 24 announced
  10. + IncrementalFair145 devs · median $2.9k · 236 announced
  11. + Creature CollectorFair51 devs · median $2.9k · 67 announced
  12. + CollectathonFair90 devs · median $1.9k · 95 announced

All 159 pairs on the Loot page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Titan Quest II · EA $34.99 17,398 81% 522k $18M (exactly $18,262,681) Grimlore Games
Titan Quest Anniversary Edition older $19.99 25,876 91% 776k $16M (exactly $15,517,837) Iron Lore Entertainment, THQ Nordic
NORSE: Oath of Blood $34.99 2,535 56% 76k $2.7M (exactly $2,660,990) Arctic Hazard
Vikings - Wolves of Midgard older $29.99 2,808 58% 84k $2.5M (exactly $2,526,358) Games Farm
Achilles: Legends Untold older $24.99 2,149 77% 64k $1.6M (exactly $1,611,105) Dark Point Games
Neon Abyss 2 · EA $19.99 1,968 68% 59k $1.2M (exactly $1,180,210) Veewo Games
Spirit Realm · EA older $18.18 1,379 76% 41k $752k (exactly $752,107) 深圳市灵境互娱科技有限公司
Svarog's Dream older $21.00 888 89% 27k $559k (exactly $559,440) VI Game Forge
Ghostlore older $19.99 703 81% 21k $422k (exactly $421,589) Andrew Teo, Adam Teo
Shadow Dungeon $9.99 1,387 78% 42k $416k (exactly $415,684) OO Cat
无休仙途 $5.99 966 72% 29k $174k (exactly $173,590) GOCORE
Cultivation Magic World · EA $12.99 276 78% 8.3k $108k (exactly $107,557) DMG Studio
The Girl from Arkanya $19.99 153 92% 4.6k $92k (exactly $91,754) Arkanya Games
壶中日月 Timeless Teapot $4.99 384 77% 12k $57k (exactly $57,485) 壶天云镜
XiuzhenWorld2 $12.99 134 67% 4.0k $52k (exactly $52,220) Noforgetit
Ash & Rust $19.99 85 63% 2.6k $51k (exactly $50,974) Ash and Rust Studios

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.