Do I ship it?

Games › Loot › Loot + Multiple Endings

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Loot Multiple Endings game?

Loot + Multiple Endings

Of 32 developers who shipped a Loot Multiple Endings game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 63 more are announced, ×2.6 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $2.1k, ×3.3 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $270; 1 in 20 cleared $490k, ×793 the market median. Revenue is up 40% on the market; 63 games are announced against 24 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 3.3 times the market baseline, revenue up 40% on the market, 63 announced, ×2.6 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Loot + Multiple Endings
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 32
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $452k → $106k → $239 → $3.1k → $4.1k → $2.1k (still earning) → $0 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Loot + Multiple Endings: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 32
Bottom 30% $269 (exactly $269)
Median $2.1k (exactly $2,096)
Top 25% $15k (exactly $15,467)
Top 5% $498k (exactly $497,802)
Developers, 2 yr 32
Released games 70
Announced 63
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $7.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 40% on the market, supply 200% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 10%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Loot
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Multiple Endings
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Loot, Multiple Endings; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, RPG, Exploration
Price point
$7.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Anime, Atmospheric
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $7.99.

The top 10 games average 77% positive over 3,861 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $270, median $2.1k, 1 in 4 over $15k, 1 in 20 over $490k.

3 in 10 developers made under $270. 8 in 10 of the 12 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 63 games are announced against 24 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.6 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Loot with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Artificial IntelligenceStrong odds28 devs · median $19k · 22 announced
  2. + Local Co-OpStrong odds22 devs · median $7.3k · 21 announced
  3. + SteampunkStrong odds7 devs · median $2.2k · 10 announced
  4. + CapitalismFair36 devs · median $14k · 52 announced
  5. + Turn-Based StrategyFair86 devs · median $6.3k · 97 announced
  6. + JRPGFair34 devs · median $5.5k · 41 announced
  7. + EconomyFair74 devs · median $4.6k · 114 announced
  8. + IdlerFair181 devs · median $4.5k · 256 announced
  9. + CatsFair17 devs · median $3.4k · 24 announced
  10. + IncrementalFair145 devs · median $2.9k · 236 announced
  11. + Creature CollectorFair51 devs · median $2.9k · 67 announced
  12. + CollectathonFair90 devs · median $1.9k · 95 announced

All 159 pairs on the Loot page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Lost Castle / 失落城堡 2016 · $5.5M 河洛群俠傳 (Ho Tu Lo Shu ： The Books of Dragon) 2018 · $5.2M Spirit Realm 2024 · EA · $752k HexBreaker Ⅱ 2026 · $629k Svarog's Dream 2023 · $559k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Lost Castle / 失落城堡 older $9.99 18,417 87% 553k $5.5M (exactly $5,519,575) Hunter Studio
河洛群俠傳 (Ho Tu Lo Shu ： The Books of Dragon) older $17.99 9,616 81% 288k $5.2M (exactly $5,189,755) 香港商河洛互動娛樂股份有限公司
Spirit Realm · EA older $18.18 1,379 76% 41k $752k (exactly $752,107) 深圳市灵境互娱科技有限公司
HexBreaker Ⅱ $19.99 1,049 64% 31k $629k (exactly $629,085) 灵煦工作室
Svarog's Dream older $21.00 888 89% 27k $559k (exactly $559,440) VI Game Forge
Granny: Escape Together $9.99 1,661 79% 50k $498k (exactly $497,802) CreepyToad
The Use of Life $19.99 764 90% 23k $458k (exactly $458,171) だらねこげーむず/Daraneko Games
Granny Remake older $6.99 2,154 82% 65k $452k (exactly $451,694) FerriteLabs
Prodigal older $14.99 584 91% 18k $263k (exactly $262,625) Colorgrave
Devil Spire older $9.99 435 89% 13k $130k (exactly $130,370) Ithiro Sumi, Lucas Perdomo, Lucas Bress… (Ithiro Sumi, Lucas Perdomo, Lucas Bressan)
Empyreal $14.99 123 69% 3.7k $55k (exactly $55,313) Silent Games
Dungeon with Girl $13.99 56 83% 1.7k $24k (exactly $23,503) tadatada stupid
face the immortal · EA $17.99 41 92% 1.2k $22k (exactly $22,128) DY
Eternal Sword Tomb · EA $8.99 68 77% 2.0k $18k (exactly $18,340) 阿郎
HOPE 01 · EA $11.99 43 88% 1.3k $15k (exactly $15,467) Bending Boy Games
Encounter: The Lost Cards $12.99 38 68% 1.1k $15k (exactly $14,809) Salvatore Grosso
4 Classes, Many Paths $9.99 18 100% 540 $5.4k (exactly $5,395) J. C. SpringBourne

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.