Do I ship it?

Games › Loot › Loot + Military

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Military Loot game?

Loot + Military

Of 26 developers who shipped a Military Loot game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 32 more are announced, ×2.1 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $14k, ×23 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $450; 1 in 20 cleared $1.9M, ×3176 the market median. Revenue is up 1010% on the market; 32 games are announced against 15 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 22.9 times the market baseline, revenue up 1010% on the market, 32 announced, ×2.1 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Loot + Military
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 26
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $10k → $270 → $4.8k → $7.2k → $41k → $18k (still earning) → $64k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Loot + Military: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 26
Bottom 30% $449 (exactly $449)
Median $14k (exactly $14,386)
Top 25% $64k (exactly $64,307)
Top 5% $2.0M (exactly $1,994,749)
Developers, 2 yr 26
Released games 64
Announced 32
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 1010% on the market, supply 25% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 19%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Loot
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Military
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Loot; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Shooter, Action, FPS
Price point
$9.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Realistic, First-Person
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.

The top 10 games average 48% positive over 33,301 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $450, median $14k, 1 in 4 over $64k, 1 in 20 over $1.9M.

3 in 10 developers made under $450. 8 in 10 of the 16 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 32 games are announced against 15 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.1 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Loot with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Artificial IntelligenceStrong odds28 devs · median $19k · 22 announced
  2. + Local Co-OpStrong odds22 devs · median $7.3k · 21 announced
  3. + SteampunkStrong odds7 devs · median $2.2k · 10 announced
  4. + CapitalismFair36 devs · median $14k · 52 announced
  5. + Turn-Based StrategyFair86 devs · median $6.3k · 97 announced
  6. + JRPGFair34 devs · median $5.5k · 41 announced
  7. + EconomyFair74 devs · median $4.6k · 114 announced
  8. + IdlerFair181 devs · median $4.5k · 256 announced
  9. + CatsFair17 devs · median $3.4k · 24 announced
  10. + IncrementalFair145 devs · median $2.9k · 236 announced
  11. + Creature CollectorFair51 devs · median $2.9k · 67 announced
  12. + CollectathonFair90 devs · median $1.9k · 95 announced

All 159 pairs on the Loot page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Tom Clancy’s The Division® 2 2023 · $29M Jagged Alliance 3 2023 · $15M Marauders 2022 · EA · $12M RUNNING WITH RIFLES 2015 · $6.6M 龙胤立志传 2026 · $4.3M
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Tom Clancy’s The Division® 2 older $29.99 32,600 79% 978k $29M (exactly $29,330,220) Ubisoft
Jagged Alliance 3 older $44.99 10,882 89% 326k $15M (exactly $14,687,435) Haemimont Games
Marauders · EA older $29.99 13,505 68% 405k $12M (exactly $12,150,448) Small Impact Games
RUNNING WITH RIFLES older $14.99 14,676 87% 440k $6.6M (exactly $6,599,797) Osumia Games
龙胤立志传 $19.99 7,153 77% 215k $4.3M (exactly $4,289,654) TPP Studio
BidKing $2.99 22,238 33% 667k $2.0M (exactly $1,994,749) MindSurge Network & Games
Ukrainian Warfare: Gostomel Heroes $14.99 1,921 90% 58k $864k (exactly $863,874) Cats Who Play
Granvir $14.99 842 90% 25k $379k (exactly $378,647) Airborne Games
Project L33T: Founders Edition $19.99 525 47% 16k $315k (exactly $314,842) Targetpoint Interactive, Holmgard Games
Breach & Clear: Deadline Rebirth (2016) older $9.99 715 53% 21k $214k (exactly $214,286) Mighty Rabbit Studios, Gun Media
Fracture Point $19.99 158 81% 4.7k $95k (exactly $94,753) Kyrylo Burlaka
Ghosts of Tabor : LEGACY $14.99 143 65% 4.3k $64k (exactly $64,307) Combat Waffle Studios
Void Marauders $13.99 106 77% 3.2k $44k (exactly $44,488) Autarca
Future War Tactics: SOF vs Alien Invasion – Turn-Based Strategy $9.99 138 60% 4.1k $41k (exactly $41,359) QuadCom Interactive
Try to survive Today · EA $10.99 77 68% 2.3k $25k (exactly $25,387) VIVA

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.