Do I ship it?

GamesLootLoot + Martial Arts

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Martial-Arts Loot game?

Loot + Martial Arts

Only 13 developers shipped a Martial-Arts Loot game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, 龙胤立志传, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 24 more are announced, ×2.4 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $14k, ×22 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $1.2k; 1 in 20 cleared $4.2M, ×6831 the market median. Revenue is up 145% on the market; 24 games are announced against 10 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 22.3 times the market baseline, revenue up 145% on the market, 24 announced, ×2.4 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Loot + Martial Arts
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 13

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Loot + Martial Arts: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 13
Bottom 30% $1.2k (exactly $1,198)
Median $14k (exactly $14,017)
Top 25% $181k (exactly $181,238)
Top 5% $4.3M (exactly $4,289,654)
Developers, 2 yr 13
Released games 34
Announced 24
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $7.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 145% on the market, supply 235% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 24%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Loot
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Martial Arts
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Loot; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, Auto Battler, Inventory Management
Price point
$7.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Anime, Pixel Graphics
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $7.99.

The top 10 games average 77% positive over 9,276 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $1.2k, median $14k, 1 in 4 over $180k, 1 in 20 over $4.2M.

3 in 10 developers made under $1.2k. 24 games are announced against 10 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.4 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Loot with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Artificial IntelligenceStrong odds28 devs · median $19k · 22 announced
  2. + Local Co-OpStrong odds22 devs · median $7.3k · 21 announced
  3. + SteampunkStrong odds7 devs · median $2.2k · 10 announced
  4. + CapitalismFair36 devs · median $14k · 52 announced
  5. + Turn-Based StrategyFair86 devs · median $6.3k · 97 announced
  6. + JRPGFair34 devs · median $5.5k · 41 announced
  7. + EconomyFair74 devs · median $4.6k · 114 announced
  8. + IdlerFair181 devs · median $4.5k · 256 announced
  9. + CatsFair17 devs · median $3.4k · 24 announced
  10. + IncrementalFair145 devs · median $2.9k · 236 announced
  11. + Creature CollectorFair51 devs · median $2.9k · 67 announced
  12. + CollectathonFair90 devs · median $1.9k · 95 announced

All 159 pairs on the Loot page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
河洛群俠傳 (Ho Tu Lo Shu : The Books of Dragon) older $17.99 9,616 81% 288k $5.2M (exactly $5,189,755) 香港商河洛互動娛樂股份有限公司
龙胤立志传 $19.99 7,153 77% 215k $4.3M (exactly $4,289,654) TPP Studio
The Lost Village older $11.99 2,743 70% 82k $987k (exactly $986,657) FunYoo Games
Fate Seeker: Journey older $10.00 1,105 77% 33k $332k (exactly $331,500) JSL Entertainment
Tales of Spark · EA older $13.99 569 75% 17k $239k (exactly $238,809) Ice and Fire Isle Studio
Backpack Jianghu $13.99 565 80% 17k $237k (exactly $237,130) 背包工作室
懒人修仙传2 · EA older $7.99 873 71% 26k $209k (exactly $209,258) 托更的修罗
Warlords Battleground: Extraction $11.99 525 84% 16k $189k (exactly $188,842) 绝汪
Desktop Raid $8.99 672 76% 20k $181k (exactly $181,238) Lee_Studio
XiuzhenWorld older $12.99 436 75% 13k $170k (exactly $169,909) Noforgetit
Three Kingdoms Heroes $6.99 126 81% 3.8k $26k (exactly $26,422) 青衣工作室
长路江湖 - 九州群芳 $4.99 127 57% 3.8k $19k (exactly $19,012) SourceIn Games
Immortal IDLE · EA $5.99 78 64% 2.3k $14k (exactly $14,017) 伯乐Couple
Bestia Forge $7.99 12 41% 360 $2.9k (exactly $2,876) StarMatrix Labs
Idle Wuxia Heroes $5.99 13 53% 390 $2.3k (exactly $2,336) StarMatrix Labs
虚衝 - Kyosho $9.99 5 80% 150 $1.5k (exactly $1,498) むつむつプロジェクト(Mutsu'pro)

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.