Do I ship it?

Games › Loot › Loot + Logic

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Loot Logic game?

Loot + Logic

Of 22 developers who shipped a Loot Logic game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 31 more are announced, ×2.8 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $240 in the last 2 years and $480 over 4, against a market of $630 for a 5 / 10 build. 11 developers shipped in the last year and 31 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.4 times the market baseline, revenue down 90% on the market, 31 announced, ×2.8 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Loot + Logic
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 22
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $3.9k → $629 → $898 → $955 → $0 (still earning) → $150 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Loot + Logic: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 22
Bottom 30% $60 (exactly $60)
Median $240 (exactly $240)
Top 25% $955 (exactly $955)
Top 5% $41k (exactly $41,359)
Developers, 2 yr 22
Released games 58
Announced 31
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 90% on the market, supply 10% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 10%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Loot
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Logic
effort 2 / 10 · high · deductive rules and grids

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Loot, Logic; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Strategy, Adventure, Puzzle
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $9.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, 3D, Pixel Graphics
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $9.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 77% positive over 1,899 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $60, median $240, 1 in 4 over $950, 1 in 20 over $41k.

3 in 10 developers made under $60. 8 in 10 of the 12 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 31 games are announced against 11 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.8 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Loot with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Artificial IntelligenceStrong odds28 devs · median $19k · 22 announced
  2. + Local Co-OpStrong odds22 devs · median $7.3k · 21 announced
  3. + SteampunkStrong odds7 devs · median $2.2k · 10 announced
  4. + CapitalismFair36 devs · median $14k · 52 announced
  5. + Turn-Based StrategyFair86 devs · median $6.3k · 97 announced
  6. + JRPGFair34 devs · median $5.5k · 41 announced
  7. + EconomyFair74 devs · median $4.6k · 114 announced
  8. + IdlerFair181 devs · median $4.5k · 256 announced
  9. + CatsFair17 devs · median $3.4k · 24 announced
  10. + IncrementalFair145 devs · median $2.9k · 236 announced
  11. + Creature CollectorFair51 devs · median $2.9k · 67 announced
  12. + CollectathonFair90 devs · median $1.9k · 95 announced

All 159 pairs on the Loot page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Granny: Escape Together 2024 · $498k Summon 2023 · $89k Future War Tactics: SOF vs Alien Invasion – Turn-Based Strategy 2025 · $41k Minesweeper: Collector 2020 · $32k CUBE ROYALE 2023 · EA · $14k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Granny: Escape Together $9.99 1,661 79% 50k $498k (exactly $497,802) CreepyToad
Summon older $0.99 2,999 92% 90k $89k (exactly $89,070) Goosix Games
Future War Tactics: SOF vs Alien Invasion – Turn-Based Strategy $9.99 138 60% 4.1k $41k (exactly $41,359) QuadCom Interactive
Minesweeper: Collector older $7.99 132 88% 4.0k $32k (exactly $31,640) Anton Kryukov
CUBE ROYALE · EA older $9.99 47 93% 1.4k $14k (exactly $14,086) Creature Factory
Reforged TD - Tower Defense · EA older $12.99 32 78% 960 $12k (exactly $12,470) Sascha Klenk
SUKUR older $1.99 162 77% 4.9k $9.7k (exactly $9,671) Latif Güngör
Stolen Crown older $11.99 18 88% 540 $6.5k (exactly $6,475) Banshee Cat
! That Bastard Is Trying To Steal Our Gold ! older $2.99 68 55% 2.0k $6.1k (exactly $6,100) WTFOMGames
Mech Shuffle $9.99 19 94% 570 $5.7k (exactly $5,694) PillBugGames
Six Shake Coin $4.99 14 92% 420 $2.1k (exactly $2,096) CSTG-小光
Loot of Idle $1.99 33 48% 990 $2.0k (exactly $1,970) DarkRook Interactive
Screw That $1.99 16 87% 480 $955 (exactly $955) Ychicken
Articrafty · EA $4.99 6 50% 180 $898 (exactly $898) VC
Reverse Escape Room: Archaeologists Sanctum $6.99 3 66% 90 $629 (exactly $629) Mipmap
Infinite Idle: Online Clicker RPG $1.99 8 37% 240 $478 (exactly $478) Comar Studios
Codename Medusa · EA $9.99 1 0% 30 $300 (exactly $300) Serramonaca Capital Ventures

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.