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Should I ship a Loot Local Multiplayer game?
Loot + Local Multiplayer
Only 15 developers shipped a Loot Local Multiplayer game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Wild Woods, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 15 more are announced, ×3.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $6.0k, ×9.5 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $900; 1 in 20 cleared $780k, ×1250 the market median. Revenue is down 80% on the market; 15 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $899 (exactly $899) |
|---|---|
| Median | $6.0k (exactly $5,997) |
| Top 25% | $30k (exactly $29,667) |
| Top 5% | $785k (exactly $785,176) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 15 |
| Released games | 42 |
| Announced | 15 |
| Effort | 5 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $9.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 80% on the market, supply 50% fewer developers than the period before.
Free games: 7%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Loot
- effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
- Local Multiplayer
- effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
- Systems
- Loot, Local Multiplayer; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Arcade, Local Co-Op
- Price point
- $9.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
- Art
- 5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Cartoony
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.
The top 10 games average 76% positive over 2,359 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $900. 7 in 10 of the 11 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 15 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.0 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Loot with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Artificial IntelligenceStrong odds
- + Local Co-OpStrong odds
- + SteampunkStrong odds
- + CapitalismFair
- + Turn-Based StrategyFair
- + JRPGFair
- + EconomyFair
- + IdlerFair
- + CatsFair
- + IncrementalFair
- + Creature CollectorFair
- + CollectathonFair
Comparable games
Lost Castle / 失落城堡 2016 · $5.5M 
Ship of Fools 2022 · $3.3M 
Monaco: What's Yours Is Mine 2013 · $1.7M 
Wild Woods 2024 · EA · $785k 
Kitaria Fables 2021 · $751k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Lost Castle / 失落城堡 | older | $9.99 | 18,417 87% | 553k | $5.5M (exactly $5,519,575) | Hunter Studio |
| | Ship of Fools | older | $21.99 | 5,040 82% | 151k | $3.3M (exactly $3,324,888) | Fika Productions |
| | Monaco: What's Yours Is Mine | older | $14.99 | 3,756 92% | 113k | $1.7M (exactly $1,689,073) | Pocketwatch Games |
| | Wild Woods | · EA | $14.99 | 1,746 78% | 52k | $785k (exactly $785,176) | Octofox Games |
| | Kitaria Fables | older | $19.99 | 1,253 73% | 38k | $751k (exactly $751,424) | Twin Hearts, Secret Level Studios |
 | Blightbound | older | $19.99 | 953 62% | 29k | $572k (exactly $571,514) | Ronimo Games |
 | Super Motherload | older | $14.99 | 784 77% | 24k | $353k (exactly $352,565) | XGen Studios |
 | Son of a Witch | older | $23.99 | 350 84% | 11k | $252k (exactly $251,895) | Bigosaur |
 | Goonya Monster | older | $19.99 | 185 76% | 5.6k | $111k (exactly $110,944) | MUTAN |
 | Marooners | older | $9.99 | 293 61% | 8.8k | $88k (exactly $87,812) | M2H |
 | Final Knight | · EA | $13.99 | 180 77% | 5.4k | $76k (exactly $75,546) | 2oclocksoft |
 | Monaco 2 | $14.99 | 156 63% | 4.7k | $70k (exactly $70,153) | Pocketwatch Games | |
 | Sit-Back Attack | · EA | $8.99 | 110 78% | 3.3k | $30k (exactly $29,667) | Stapleton |
 | Raise Your Tribe | · EA | $9.99 | 57 52% | 1.7k | $17k (exactly $17,083) | Primeval Forest Studios |
 | Light Fingers | $19.99 | 17 76% | 510 | $10k (exactly $10,195) | Numizmatic | |
 | CODEX MORTIS | · EA | $3.99 | 61 80% | 1.8k | $7.3k (exactly $7,302) | GROLAF |
 | Sustained | · EA | $19.99 | 10 50% | 300 | $6.0k (exactly $5,997) | Iconic Studios |
 | Brigands | $9.99 | 15 73% | 450 | $4.5k (exactly $4,496) | Simon Rinfret, Azooloom | |
 | Horde of Viscount | $4.99 | 7 100% | 210 | $1.0k (exactly $1,048) | Swiggins Studios |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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