Do I ship it?

GamesLife SimLife Sim + Word Game

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Word Game Life Sim?

Life Sim + Word Game

Of 36 developers who shipped a Word Game Life Sim in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 52 more are announced, ×2.6 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $630, ×1.3 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $50; 1 in 20 cleared $250k, ×536 the market median. Revenue is down 95% on the market; 52 games are announced against 20 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.3 times the market baseline, revenue down 95% on the market, 52 announced, ×2.6 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Life Sim + Word Game
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 36
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $25k → $40k → $22k → $24k → $15k → $1.8k → $629 (still earning) → $30 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Life Sim + Word Game: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 36
Bottom 30% $30 (exactly $30)
Median $629 (exactly $629)
Top 25% $44k (exactly $43,756)
Top 5% $255k (exactly $254,721)
Developers, 2 yr 36
Released games 77
Announced 52
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 95% on the market, supply 25% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 12%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Life Sim
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Word Game
effort 1 / 10 · high · dictionary logic and simple UI

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Life Sim, Word Game; 7 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Simulation, Dating Sim, RPG
Price point
$5.99 typical · top 25% priced $13.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Story Rich, Emotional
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $13.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.

The top 10 games average 82% positive over 5,281 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $630, 1 in 4 over $43k, 1 in 20 over $250k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. 7 in 10 of the 21 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 52 games are announced against 20 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.6 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Life Sim with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + FMVStrong odds38 devs · median $54k · 21 announced
  2. + MinigamesStrong odds20 devs · median $11k · 19 announced
  3. + MusicStrong odds28 devs · median $9.2k · 20 announced
  4. + Job SimulatorFair144 devs · median $19k · 153 announced
  5. + Football (Soccer)Fair10 devs · median $10k · 16 announced
  6. + FaithFair11 devs · median $9.4k · 13 announced
  7. + Artificial IntelligenceFair92 devs · median $7.3k · 121 announced
  8. + GamblingFair28 devs · median $4.0k · 32 announced
  9. + DemonsFair16 devs · median $2.4k · 22 announced
  10. + Point & ClickFair162 devs · median $2.4k · 219 announced
  11. + LogicFair70 devs · median $1.5k · 74 announced
  12. + ZombiesFair29 devs · median $1.5k · 34 announced

All 173 pairs on the Life Sim page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Retirement Simulator · EA older $13.99 3,757 34% 113k $1.6M (exactly $1,576,813) DoubleThink Studio
S4U: CITYPUNK 2011 AND LOVE PUNCH $13.99 2,324 90% 70k $975k (exactly $975,383) U0U Games
Vanity Fair: The Pursuit older $6.99 4,014 87% 120k $842k (exactly $841,736) 木焱工作室
Influent Language Learning Game older $19.99 973 73% 29k $584k (exactly $583,508) Rob Howland
Cellveillance $15.99 531 85% 16k $255k (exactly $254,721) KARMAGAME HK LIMITED
Daily life with my succubus boss older $9.99 716 88% 21k $215k (exactly $214,585) 樹懶叫工作室, HEIJUN, Maker製造機
Demon Speakeasy older $9.99 573 79% 17k $172k (exactly $171,728) 樹懶叫工作室, sloth gamer
轮回修仙传 $4.99 1,085 81% 33k $162k (exactly $162,424) Collider Studio
我的时光:大学日记 $13.99 340 25% 10k $143k (exactly $142,698) WaterWood Studio
狂想!夏日盛宴 $6.99 372 95% 11k $78k (exactly $78,008) Tenth Art Studio
重返现场:真人版 $9.99 247 78% 7.4k $74k (exactly $74,026) 欢乐不二
TIME TO STARⅡ偶像之路终极版 $12.99 124 70% 3.7k $48k (exactly $48,323) 随便做做游戏组
UncleOffice:uncle Dating Simulator $15.99 92 61% 2.8k $44k (exactly $44,132) GameUncle
Lower? Higher! $9.99 146 67% 4.4k $44k (exactly $43,756) Unplugged Studio
WonderLang Spanish $24.99 20 80% 600 $15k (exactly $14,994) bair games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.