Do I ship it?

GamesLife SimLife Sim + Underground

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an Underground Life Sim?

Life Sim + Underground

Only 9 developers shipped an Underground Life Sim in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Prison Escape Simulator: Dig Out, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 30 more are announced, ×5.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $390, ×0.8 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $50; 1 in 20 cleared $830k, ×1761 the market median. Revenue is down 90% on the market; 30 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 0.8 times the market baseline, revenue down 90% on the market, 30 announced, ×5.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Life Sim + Underground
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 9

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Life Sim + Underground: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 9
Bottom 30% $0 (exactly $0)
Median $390 (exactly $390)
Top 25% $8.7k (exactly $8,691)
Top 5% $837k (exactly $836,553)
Developers, 2 yr 9
Released games 25
Announced 30
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $7.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 90% on the market, supply 100% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 16%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Life Sim
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Underground
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Life Sim
Price point
$7.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $7.99.

The top 10 games average 79% positive over 12,592 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $390, 1 in 4 over $8.6k, 1 in 20 over $830k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. 30 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year, ×5.0 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Life Sim with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + FMVStrong odds38 devs · median $54k · 21 announced
  2. + MinigamesStrong odds20 devs · median $11k · 19 announced
  3. + MusicStrong odds28 devs · median $9.2k · 20 announced
  4. + Job SimulatorFair144 devs · median $19k · 153 announced
  5. + Football (Soccer)Fair10 devs · median $10k · 16 announced
  6. + FaithFair11 devs · median $9.4k · 13 announced
  7. + Artificial IntelligenceFair92 devs · median $7.3k · 121 announced
  8. + GamblingFair28 devs · median $4.0k · 32 announced
  9. + DemonsFair16 devs · median $2.4k · 22 announced
  10. + Point & ClickFair162 devs · median $2.4k · 219 announced
  11. + LogicFair70 devs · median $1.5k · 74 announced
  12. + ZombiesFair29 devs · median $1.5k · 34 announced

All 173 pairs on the Life Sim page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Mr. Prepper older $19.99 4,795 81% 144k $2.9M (exactly $2,875,562) Rejected Games
Prison Escape Simulator: Dig Out $7.99 3,490 85% 105k $837k (exactly $836,553) Digital Melody
Trolley Problem, Inc. older $10.99 1,265 67% 38k $417k (exactly $417,070) ReadGraves
Brno Transit $8.99 589 85% 18k $159k (exactly $158,853) Spytihněv
Escort Simulator older $19.99 215 61% 6.5k $129k (exactly $128,935) Somavision Games
Hashiriya Drifter-Online Drift Racing Multiplayer (DRIFT/DRAG/RACING) older $1.99 1,337 68% 40k $80k (exactly $79,819) Midnight Games
Egyptian Senet older $9.99 200 81% 6.0k $60k (exactly $59,940) Ezzat Studios
Shokudo Underworld older $5.99 266 83% 8.0k $48k (exactly $47,800) Miluku Inc.
Lust Bunker [18+] older $9.99 130 66% 3.9k $39k (exactly $38,961) BanzaiProject
I live under your house. older $1.99 305 80% 9.2k $18k (exactly $18,208) SpoocleMacBoogle
Dig & Deal $9.99 29 75% 870 $8.7k (exactly $8,691) ToYa Games
Metro Mini Market Simulator $3.99 49 69% 1.5k $5.9k (exactly $5,865) Altai Entertainment
Quiet Hour $12.99 1 100% 30 $390 (exactly $390) FAB
Stolen Legacy Rise of The Fallen $2.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Mojkaw
Hoarders Realm · EA $14.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Taylor Robinson
Moon Shop Simulator $7.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Hakkah Studio
Cheap Tattoo · EA $2.83 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Cheap Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.