Do I ship it?

GamesLife SimLife Sim + Turn-Based Combat

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Life Sim Turn-Based Combat game?

Life Sim + Turn-Based Combat

Of 27 developers who shipped a Life Sim Turn-Based Combat game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 36 more are announced, ×2.1 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $8.4k, ×18 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $720; 1 in 20 cleared $520k, ×1100 the market median. Revenue is up 10175% on the market; 36 games are announced against 17 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 17.6 times the market baseline, revenue up 10175% on the market, 36 announced, ×2.1 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Life Sim + Turn-Based Combat
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 27
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.5k → $22k → $125k → $0 → $449 → $31k → $24k (still earning) → $2.4k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Life Sim + Turn-Based Combat: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 27
Bottom 30% $718 (exactly $718)
Median $8.4k (exactly $8,379)
Top 25% $62k (exactly $62,338)
Top 5% $523k (exactly $522,726)
Developers, 2 yr 27
Released games 52
Announced 36
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $10.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 10175% on the market, supply 55% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 6%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Life Sim
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Turn-Based Combat
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Life Sim, Turn-Based Combat; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry RPG, Simulation, Choices Matter
Price point
$10.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Anime, Story Rich, Cute
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $10.99.

The top 10 games average 91% positive over 10,511 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $720, median $8.4k, 1 in 4 over $62k, 1 in 20 over $520k.

3 in 10 developers made under $720. All of the 11 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 36 games are announced against 17 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.1 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Life Sim with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + FMVStrong odds38 devs · median $54k · 21 announced
  2. + MinigamesStrong odds20 devs · median $11k · 19 announced
  3. + MusicStrong odds28 devs · median $9.2k · 20 announced
  4. + Job SimulatorFair144 devs · median $19k · 153 announced
  5. + Football (Soccer)Fair10 devs · median $10k · 16 announced
  6. + FaithFair11 devs · median $9.4k · 13 announced
  7. + Artificial IntelligenceFair92 devs · median $7.3k · 121 announced
  8. + GamblingFair28 devs · median $4.0k · 32 announced
  9. + DemonsFair16 devs · median $2.4k · 22 announced
  10. + Point & ClickFair162 devs · median $2.4k · 219 announced
  11. + LogicFair70 devs · median $1.5k · 74 announced
  12. + ZombiesFair29 devs · median $1.5k · 34 announced

All 173 pairs on the Life Sim page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Volcano Princess older $10.99 45,019 97% 1.4M $15M (exactly $14,842,764) 养蛋人 Egg Hatcher
Magical Princess $14.99 7,636 96% 229k $3.4M (exactly $3,433,909) Neotro Inc., MAGI Inc.
SunnySide older $19.99 913 67% 27k $548k (exactly $547,526) Aftabi Games
Ova Magica $29.99 581 91% 17k $523k (exactly $522,726) ClaudiaTheDev, Skinny Frog
Dragon Song Tavern: Cozy & Adventurous $19.90 274 71% 8.2k $164k (exactly $163,578) Etherous Games Limited
轮回修仙传 $4.99 1,085 81% 33k $162k (exactly $162,424) Collider Studio
High School Odyssey older $8.99 591 92% 18k $159k (exactly $159,393) 傲雪小组
Dungeon Dreams 2 older $19.99 209 90% 6.3k $125k (exactly $125,337) DDreams Games
Seeds of Calamity $14.99 271 78% 8.1k $122k (exactly $121,869) Laborious Lark Studios
K-pop Idol Stories: Road to Debut $19.99 175 53% 5.3k $105k (exactly $104,947) Wisageni Studio
Retro Arcade Shop Simulator · EA $9.99 208 88% 6.2k $62k (exactly $62,338) Alt Tab Game
Magic Inn · EA $14.99 68 82% 2.0k $31k (exactly $30,580) Purpledoor Studios
Sky Realm Idle $6.99 115 73% 3.5k $24k (exactly $24,116) 323Game
修仙实操手册 $6.99 98 54% 2.9k $21k (exactly $20,551) SourceIn Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.