Do I ship it?

GamesLife SimLife Sim + Supernatural

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Supernatural Life Sim?

Life Sim + Supernatural

Of 29 developers who shipped a Supernatural Life Sim in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 57 more are announced, ×2.9 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $6.1k, ×13 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $600; 1 in 20 cleared $460k, ×979 the market median. Revenue is up 55% on the market; 57 games are announced against 20 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 12.9 times the market baseline, revenue up 55% on the market, 57 announced, ×2.9 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Life Sim + Supernatural
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 29
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $24k → $2.3k → $14k → $6.1k (still earning) → $40k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Life Sim + Supernatural: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 29
Bottom 30% $599 (exactly $599)
Median $6.1k (exactly $6,138)
Top 25% $31k (exactly $30,569)
Top 5% $465k (exactly $464,990)
Developers, 2 yr 29
Released games 59
Announced 57
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 55% on the market, supply 120% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 8%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Life Sim
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Supernatural
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Life Sim; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Simulation, Immersive Sim, Exploration
Price point
$5.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
8 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Atmospheric, First-Person
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.

The top 10 games average 86% positive over 6,542 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $600, median $6.1k, 1 in 4 over $30k, 1 in 20 over $460k.

3 in 10 developers made under $600. 6 in 10 of the 11 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 57 games are announced against 20 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.9 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Life Sim with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + FMVStrong odds38 devs · median $54k · 21 announced
  2. + MinigamesStrong odds20 devs · median $11k · 19 announced
  3. + MusicStrong odds28 devs · median $9.2k · 20 announced
  4. + Job SimulatorFair144 devs · median $19k · 153 announced
  5. + Football (Soccer)Fair10 devs · median $10k · 16 announced
  6. + FaithFair11 devs · median $9.4k · 13 announced
  7. + Artificial IntelligenceFair92 devs · median $7.3k · 121 announced
  8. + GamblingFair28 devs · median $4.0k · 32 announced
  9. + DemonsFair16 devs · median $2.4k · 22 announced
  10. + Point & ClickFair162 devs · median $2.4k · 219 announced
  11. + LogicFair70 devs · median $1.5k · 74 announced
  12. + ZombiesFair29 devs · median $1.5k · 34 announced

All 173 pairs on the Life Sim page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Moonlight Peaks $34.99 1,793 88% 54k $1.9M (exactly $1,882,112) Little Chicken
Wylde Flowers older $24.99 2,329 95% 70k $1.7M (exactly $1,746,051) Studio Drydock Pty Ltd
HELLMART $14.99 1,034 77% 31k $465k (exactly $464,990) GAZE IN GAMES
Love, Ghostie older $19.99 574 96% 17k $344k (exactly $344,228) Janbeh Games, LLC
ORDER 13 $8.99 1,224 87% 37k $330k (exactly $330,113) Cybernetic Walrus
Photomaly $6.99 1,292 89% 39k $271k (exactly $270,932) Revira Interactive
24 Killers older $19.99 403 98% 12k $242k (exactly $241,679) Happy Shabby Games
The Unholy Priest $9.99 370 72% 11k $111k (exactly $110,889) Grejuva
Haunted Room : 205 $5.99 387 94% 12k $70k (exactly $69,544) Gameloop
Yokai: Lust Secret 🪭 $14.99 89 83% 2.7k $40k (exactly $40,023) Lewd Star
SCP-3008: Infinite Store $9.99 102 84% 3.1k $31k (exactly $30,569) YAP
Greenhearth Necromancer $10.99 88 96% 2.6k $29k (exactly $29,014) Silverstring Media Inc.
Security: The Horrible Nights $4.99 163 88% 4.9k $24k (exactly $24,401) Professional Villains

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.