Do I ship it?

GamesLife SimLife Sim + Space

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Space Life Sim?

Life Sim + Space

Of 35 developers who shipped a Space Life Sim in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 57 more are announced, ×2.4 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $3.6k, ×5.7 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $150; 1 in 20 cleared $320k, ×522 the market median. Revenue is down 50% on the market; 57 games are announced against 24 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 5.7 times the market baseline, revenue down 50% on the market, 57 announced, ×2.4 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Life Sim + Space
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 35
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $959 → $19k → $156k → $32k → $45k → $4.9k → $32k (still earning) → $359 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Life Sim + Space: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 35
Bottom 30% $150 (exactly $150)
Median $3.6k (exactly $3,596)
Top 25% $45k (exactly $45,255)
Top 5% $328k (exactly $328,046)
Developers, 2 yr 35
Released games 61
Announced 57
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $6.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 50% on the market, supply 120% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 11%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Life Sim
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Space
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Life Sim; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Simulation, Management, RPG
Price point
$6.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Funny, Colorful
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $6.99.

The top 10 games average 77% positive over 5,647 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $150, median $3.6k, 1 in 4 over $45k, 1 in 20 over $320k.

3 in 10 developers made under $150. 7 in 10 of the 12 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 57 games are announced against 24 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.4 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Life Sim with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + FMVStrong odds38 devs · median $54k · 21 announced
  2. + MinigamesStrong odds20 devs · median $11k · 19 announced
  3. + MusicStrong odds28 devs · median $9.2k · 20 announced
  4. + Job SimulatorFair144 devs · median $19k · 153 announced
  5. + Football (Soccer)Fair10 devs · median $10k · 16 announced
  6. + FaithFair11 devs · median $9.4k · 13 announced
  7. + Artificial IntelligenceFair92 devs · median $7.3k · 121 announced
  8. + GamblingFair28 devs · median $4.0k · 32 announced
  9. + DemonsFair16 devs · median $2.4k · 22 announced
  10. + Point & ClickFair162 devs · median $2.4k · 219 announced
  11. + LogicFair70 devs · median $1.5k · 74 announced
  12. + ZombiesFair29 devs · median $1.5k · 34 announced

All 173 pairs on the Life Sim page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Ostranauts $19.99 3,137 77% 94k $1.9M (exactly $1,881,259) Blue Bottle Games
Little-Known Galaxy older $19.99 679 88% 20k $407k (exactly $407,196) Carbon & Kay
Planetary Life · EA $11.99 912 94% 27k $328k (exactly $328,046) Sotenbox
One Lonely Outpost $19.99 540 58% 16k $324k (exactly $323,838) indie.io
Mech Mechanic Simulator older $19.99 538 61% 16k $323k (exactly $322,639) Polyslash
Space Colony: Steam Edition older $14.99 564 78% 17k $254k (exactly $253,631) Firefly Studios
Startopia older $6.99 844 91% 25k $177k (exactly $176,987) My Little Planet Ltd, Mucky Foot Produc… (My Little Planet Ltd, Mucky Foot Productions Ltd)
Last Hope older $19.99 260 93% 7.8k $156k (exactly $155,922) Poolside games
Pawn Planet $9.99 280 71% 8.4k $84k (exactly $83,916) Gambol Games
ANLIFE: Motion-Learning Life Evolution $13.99 161 83% 4.8k $68k (exactly $67,572) Attructure Inc.
Alien Market Simulator $12.99 124 83% 3.7k $48k (exactly $48,323) Silly Sloth Studios, Kheddo Entertainme… (Silly Sloth Studios, Kheddo Entertainment)
Space Chef $14.99 105 73% 3.2k $47k (exactly $47,218) Blue Goo Games
LUST Company 👾 $9.99 155 65% 4.7k $46k (exactly $46,454) Taboo Tales 💘
SEXSTELLAR $9.99 151 67% 4.5k $45k (exactly $45,255) Carnality INC
Legitimate Space Corp Simulator LLC $12.99 82 69% 2.5k $32k (exactly $31,955) VHornet Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.