Do I ship it?

GamesLife SimLife Sim + Robots

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Robot Life Sim?

Life Sim + Robots

Only 18 developers shipped a Robot Life Sim in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, World End Diner, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 27 more are announced, ×3.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $900, ×1.4 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $120; 1 in 20 cleared $210k, ×337 the market median. Revenue is down 95% on the market; 27 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.4 times the market baseline, revenue down 95% on the market, 27 announced, ×3.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Life Sim + Robots
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 18
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $13k → $3.8k → $3.1k → $89 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Life Sim + Robots: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 18
Bottom 30% $119 (exactly $119)
Median $898 (exactly $898)
Top 25% $22k (exactly $22,178)
Top 5% $212k (exactly $211,525)
Developers, 2 yr 18
Released games 40
Announced 27
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 95% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.

Free games: 18%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Life Sim
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Robots
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Life Sim; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Simulation, Farming Sim, Immersive Sim
Price point
$5.99 typical · top 25% priced $18.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Cute
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $18.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.

The top 10 games average 89% positive over 1,784 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $120, median $900, 1 in 4 over $22k, 1 in 20 over $210k.

3 in 10 developers made under $120. 7 in 10 of the 11 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 27 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.0 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Life Sim with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + FMVStrong odds38 devs · median $54k · 21 announced
  2. + MinigamesStrong odds20 devs · median $11k · 19 announced
  3. + MusicStrong odds28 devs · median $9.2k · 20 announced
  4. + Job SimulatorFair144 devs · median $19k · 153 announced
  5. + Football (Soccer)Fair10 devs · median $10k · 16 announced
  6. + FaithFair11 devs · median $9.4k · 13 announced
  7. + Artificial IntelligenceFair92 devs · median $7.3k · 121 announced
  8. + GamblingFair28 devs · median $4.0k · 32 announced
  9. + DemonsFair16 devs · median $2.4k · 22 announced
  10. + Point & ClickFair162 devs · median $2.4k · 219 announced
  11. + LogicFair70 devs · median $1.5k · 74 announced
  12. + ZombiesFair29 devs · median $1.5k · 34 announced

All 173 pairs on the Life Sim page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
CUSTOM MECH WARS older $49.99 563 41% 17k $844k (exactly $844,331) D3PUBLISHER
Mech Mechanic Simulator older $19.99 538 61% 16k $323k (exactly $322,639) Polyslash
Crypto Mining Simulator older $4.99 1,419 65% 43k $212k (exactly $212,424) Satosha Nakamoti
World End Diner $16.99 415 93% 12k $212k (exactly $211,525) Andymente
我的机器人女友 $4.99 911 90% 27k $136k (exactly $136,377) 时娱游戏
Dismantling Workshop of Bio-Girl $29.99 120 61% 3.6k $108k (exactly $107,964) 渡里laboratory
Sky End Market · EA $18.99 164 96% 4.9k $93k (exactly $93,431) Andymente
My Mad Scientist Roommate Turned Me Into Her Personal Robotic Battle Maiden?!? older $29.99 32 90% 960 $29k (exactly $28,790) Lached Up Games
Russian Village Simulator on Mars $15.99 58 77% 1.7k $28k (exactly $27,823) VD Games, PropilGames
The Last Craftsman $9.99 74 94% 2.2k $22k (exactly $22,178) AuraTummyache
Ekoh Beach $7.99 16 68% 480 $3.8k (exactly $3,835) Zenland Games
Remote Control $12.99 8 25% 240 $3.1k (exactly $3,118) eroG Interactive
RoboDeal Simulator $3.99 13 92% 390 $1.6k (exactly $1,556) Dual Cluster Studios
Be Human...Or Die Trying $5.99 5 100% 150 $898 (exactly $898) Real Tough Chickens

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.