Do I ship it?

GamesLife SimLife Sim + Psychological Horror

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Psychological-Horror Life Sim?

Life Sim + Psychological Horror

Of 106 developers who shipped a Psychological-Horror Life Sim in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 129 more are announced, ×2.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $3.2k, ×6.8 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $540; 1 in 20 cleared $1.0M, ×2140 the market median. Revenue is up 125% on the market; 129 games are announced against 55 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 6.8 times the market baseline, revenue up 125% on the market, 129 announced, ×2.3 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Life Sim + Psychological Horror
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 106
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $3.4k → $1.8k → $2.7k → $1.3k → $2.8k → $3.5k → $3.2k (still earning) → $3.6k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Life Sim + Psychological Horror: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 106
Bottom 30% $539 (exactly $539)
Median $3.2k (exactly $3,235)
Top 25% $31k (exactly $30,569)
Top 5% $1.0M (exactly $1,016,593)
Developers, 2 yr 106
Released games 247
Announced 129
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 125% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.

Free games: 17%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Life Sim
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Psychological Horror
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Life Sim; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Simulation, Immersive Sim, Adventure
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
6 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Atmospheric, 3D, First-Person
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 95% positive over 157,970 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $540, median $3.2k, 1 in 4 over $30k, 1 in 20 over $1.0M.

3 in 10 developers made under $540. 7 in 10 of the 78 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 129 games are announced against 55 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.3 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Life Sim with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + FMVStrong odds38 devs · median $54k · 21 announced
  2. + MinigamesStrong odds20 devs · median $11k · 19 announced
  3. + MusicStrong odds28 devs · median $9.2k · 20 announced
  4. + Job SimulatorFair144 devs · median $19k · 153 announced
  5. + Football (Soccer)Fair10 devs · median $10k · 16 announced
  6. + FaithFair11 devs · median $9.4k · 13 announced
  7. + Artificial IntelligenceFair92 devs · median $7.3k · 121 announced
  8. + GamblingFair28 devs · median $4.0k · 32 announced
  9. + DemonsFair16 devs · median $2.4k · 22 announced
  10. + Point & ClickFair162 devs · median $2.4k · 219 announced
  11. + LogicFair70 devs · median $1.5k · 74 announced
  12. + ZombiesFair29 devs · median $1.5k · 34 announced

All 173 pairs on the Life Sim page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
MiSide $14.99 122,007 97% 3.7M $55M (exactly $54,866,548) AIHASTO
My Winter Car · EA $14.99 18,614 94% 558k $8.4M (exactly $8,370,716) Amistech Games
Chinese Parents older $9.99 23,168 91% 695k $6.9M (exactly $6,943,450) 墨鱼玩游戏
Wanderstop $24.99 2,938 92% 88k $2.2M (exactly $2,202,619) Ivy Road
ANEURISM IV $9.99 5,686 75% 171k $1.7M (exactly $1,704,094) Vellocet
Office Life $19.99 1,725 88% 52k $1.0M (exactly $1,034,482) LeiYun Games
The Life and Suffering of Prince Jerian $24.99 1,356 74% 41k $1.0M (exactly $1,016,593) Schisma Games
CUSTOM MECH WARS older $49.99 563 41% 17k $844k (exactly $844,331) D3PUBLISHER
Fetish Locator Week One older $9.99 2,418 84% 73k $725k (exactly $724,675) ViNovella Games
HELLMART $14.99 1,034 77% 31k $465k (exactly $464,990) GAZE IN GAMES
Static Dread: The Lighthouse $10.90 1,394 90% 42k $456k (exactly $455,838) solarsuit.games
and Roger $4.99 2,703 95% 81k $405k (exactly $404,639) TearyHand Studio
Subside $24.99 513 96% 15k $385k (exactly $384,596) A2D Software

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.