Do I ship it?

GamesLife SimLife Sim + Platformer

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Platformer Life Sim?

Life Sim + Platformer

Of 24 developers who shipped a Platformer Life Sim in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 26 more are announced.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $840, ×1.8 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $150; 1 in 20 cleared $17k, ×37 the market median. Revenue is down 45% on the market; 26 games are announced against 13 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.8 times the market baseline, revenue down 45% on the market, 26 announced, ×2.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Life Sim + Platformer
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 24
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $3.7k → $564 → $1.2k → $838 → $60 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Life Sim + Platformer: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 24
Bottom 30% $148 (exactly $148)
Median $838 (exactly $838)
Top 25% $4.2k (exactly $4,196)
Top 5% $18k (exactly $17,536)
Developers, 2 yr 24
Released games 63
Announced 26
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 45% on the market, supply 20% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 14%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Life Sim
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Platformer
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Life Sim, Platformer; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Simulation, Adventure, Action
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $12.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Atmospheric, Cute, Funny
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $12.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 74% positive over 317 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $150, median $840, 1 in 4 over $4.1k, 1 in 20 over $17k.

3 in 10 developers made under $150. 9 in 10 of the 13 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 26 games are announced against 13 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Life Sim with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + FMVStrong odds38 devs · median $54k · 21 announced
  2. + MinigamesStrong odds20 devs · median $11k · 19 announced
  3. + MusicStrong odds28 devs · median $9.2k · 20 announced
  4. + Job SimulatorFair144 devs · median $19k · 153 announced
  5. + Football (Soccer)Fair10 devs · median $10k · 16 announced
  6. + FaithFair11 devs · median $9.4k · 13 announced
  7. + Artificial IntelligenceFair92 devs · median $7.3k · 121 announced
  8. + GamblingFair28 devs · median $4.0k · 32 announced
  9. + DemonsFair16 devs · median $2.4k · 22 announced
  10. + Point & ClickFair162 devs · median $2.4k · 219 announced
  11. + LogicFair70 devs · median $1.5k · 74 announced
  12. + ZombiesFair29 devs · median $1.5k · 34 announced

All 173 pairs on the Life Sim page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Magical Delicacy older $24.99 240 77% 7.2k $180k (exactly $179,928) Skaule
Garlic Builder older $7.99 299 92% 9.0k $72k (exactly $71,670) CaveLiquid
Cat Island Petrichor $14.99 87 70% 2.6k $39k (exactly $39,124) LuminousNote
Duck Life 4 older $4.99 261 86% 7.8k $39k (exactly $39,072) Wix Games
Candy Shop Simulator $12.99 45 60% 1.4k $18k (exactly $17,536) Games Incubator
Fantasy Fishing Town older $6.99 81 77% 2.4k $17k (exactly $16,986) RainbowStudio
Online Sparkler older $4.99 72 88% 2.2k $11k (exactly $10,778) 宮村あつき
AI Faith: Compute [>_AIFC] $4.99 55 81% 1.7k $8.2k (exactly $8,234) Beneloop.ai
Hot Pot VR · EA older $16.99 16 68% 480 $8.2k (exactly $8,155) Cantarella Massimiliano, La Spina Franc… (Cantarella Massimiliano, La Spina Francesco)
DIGGERGUN $9.99 20 90% 600 $6.0k (exactly $5,994) Kabloop
Prison Escape Simulator $9.99 18 77% 540 $5.4k (exactly $5,395) PEGAX Studios
SWEYET(etc.) $9.99 14 100% 420 $4.2k (exactly $4,196) Liam Kenna (Shmiam, Sshmiam, 5hmiam, Sh… (Liam Kenna (Shmiam, Sshmiam, 5hmiam, Shmiam Shmenna))
Theanthria · EA $4.99 21 71% 630 $3.1k (exactly $3,144) HectoCacto
Coney's $5.99 16 93% 480 $2.9k (exactly $2,875) Technical Gentleman Productions
Trump Tariff $1.99 21 71% 630 $1.3k (exactly $1,254) Valkeala Software, Tero Lunkka
Trump Horror $1.99 20 65% 600 $1.2k (exactly $1,194) Tero Lunkka, Valkeala Software

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.