Do I ship it?

GamesLife SimLife Sim + Mystery Dungeon

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Mystery Dungeon Life Sim?

Life Sim + Mystery Dungeon

Only 7 developers shipped a Mystery Dungeon Life Sim in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, NTR LIFE, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 11 more are announced, ×5.5 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 4 / 10 build.

Only 2 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $180 against a market of $480. 11 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.4 times the market baseline, revenue too few recent games to read momentum, 11 announced, ×5.5 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Life Sim + Mystery Dungeon
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 7

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Life Sim + Mystery Dungeon: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 7
Bottom 30% $120 (exactly $120)
Median $178 (exactly $178)
Top 25% $2.3k (exactly $2,338)
Top 5% $8.4k (exactly $8,379)
Developers, 2 yr 7
Released games 26
Announced 11
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $3.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 60% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 19%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Life Sim
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Mystery Dungeon
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Life Sim, Mystery Dungeon
Price point
$3.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.

The top 10 games average 77% positive over 1,112 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $120, median $180, 1 in 4 over $2.3k, 1 in 20 over $8.3k.

3 in 10 developers made under $120. All of the 8 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 11 games are announced against 2 developers who shipped in the last year, ×5.5 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Life Sim with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + FMVStrong odds38 devs · median $54k · 21 announced
  2. + MinigamesStrong odds20 devs · median $11k · 19 announced
  3. + MusicStrong odds28 devs · median $9.2k · 20 announced
  4. + Job SimulatorFair144 devs · median $19k · 153 announced
  5. + Football (Soccer)Fair10 devs · median $10k · 16 announced
  6. + FaithFair11 devs · median $9.4k · 13 announced
  7. + Artificial IntelligenceFair92 devs · median $7.3k · 121 announced
  8. + GamblingFair28 devs · median $4.0k · 32 announced
  9. + DemonsFair16 devs · median $2.4k · 22 announced
  10. + Point & ClickFair162 devs · median $2.4k · 219 announced
  11. + LogicFair70 devs · median $1.5k · 74 announced
  12. + ZombiesFair29 devs · median $1.5k · 34 announced

All 173 pairs on the Life Sim page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Dungeon Dreams 2 older $19.99 209 90% 6.3k $125k (exactly $125,337) DDreams Games
Magisterium: Fantasy Craft · EA older $14.99 232 69% 7.0k $104k (exactly $104,330) The Spiteful Games
ScrewUp older $9.99 259 68% 7.8k $78k (exactly $77,622) 199 Cents STUDIO
Santhai older $12.99 137 89% 4.1k $53k (exactly $53,389) Hardworker Studio, Rachan Neamprasert
FORGE SIMULATOR older $10.99 56 89% 1.7k $18k (exactly $18,463) GreenOnionGames
NTR LIFE $3.99 70 74% 2.1k $8.4k (exactly $8,379) Jpegsama
Deep Despair 2 older $2.99 88 73% 2.6k $7.9k (exactly $7,894) BekkerDev Studio
Cyberpunk sex older $9.99 22 68% 660 $6.6k (exactly $6,593) Games For Pleasure
Yumeiri older $4.99 33 93% 990 $4.9k (exactly $4,940) Affility
Shadow of the Night $12.99 6 50% 180 $2.3k (exactly $2,338) Uğur ÇELİK
Please Proceed To The Dungeon $4.99 11 100% 330 $1.6k (exactly $1,647) Noodle Interactive
No One's Island · EA $0.99 6 100% 180 $178 (exactly $178) Rinthis Arathis
Mystic Pub $3.99 1 100% 30 $120 (exactly $120) EDOBGames
轉生打怪學英文(七)-模擬人生大冒險 $19.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) 愛上補習班
Gatherlands · EA $1.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Bugurca Game Studio

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.