Do I ship it?

GamesLife SimLife Sim + Mining

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Mining Life Sim?

Life Sim + Mining

Of 43 developers who shipped a Mining Life Sim in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 58 more are announced.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $8.7k, ×18 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $1.1k; 1 in 20 cleared $410k, ×863 the market median. Revenue is down 75% on the market; 58 games are announced against 29 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 18.3 times the market baseline, revenue down 75% on the market, 58 announced, ×2.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Life Sim + Mining
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 43
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $5.4k → $309k → $262k → $254k → $5.2k → $24k → $836 (still earning) → $24k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Life Sim + Mining: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 43
Bottom 30% $1.1k (exactly $1,078)
Median $8.7k (exactly $8,691)
Top 25% $104k (exactly $104,162)
Top 5% $410k (exactly $410,086)
Developers, 2 yr 43
Released games 77
Announced 58
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 75% on the market, supply 105% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 1%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Life Sim
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Mining
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Life Sim, Mining; 7 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Simulation, Crafting, Building
Price point
$9.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Relaxing, Cute
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.

The top 10 games average 91% positive over 48,783 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $1.1k, median $8.7k, 1 in 4 over $100k, 1 in 20 over $410k.

3 in 10 developers made under $1.1k. 4 in 10 of the 14 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 58 games are announced against 29 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Life Sim with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + FMVStrong odds38 devs · median $54k · 21 announced
  2. + MinigamesStrong odds20 devs · median $11k · 19 announced
  3. + MusicStrong odds28 devs · median $9.2k · 20 announced
  4. + Job SimulatorFair144 devs · median $19k · 153 announced
  5. + Football (Soccer)Fair10 devs · median $10k · 16 announced
  6. + FaithFair11 devs · median $9.4k · 13 announced
  7. + Artificial IntelligenceFair92 devs · median $7.3k · 121 announced
  8. + GamblingFair28 devs · median $4.0k · 32 announced
  9. + DemonsFair16 devs · median $2.4k · 22 announced
  10. + Point & ClickFair162 devs · median $2.4k · 219 announced
  11. + LogicFair70 devs · median $1.5k · 74 announced
  12. + ZombiesFair29 devs · median $1.5k · 34 announced

All 173 pairs on the Life Sim page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
My Time at Portia older $29.99 34,844 91% 1.0M $31M (exactly $31,349,147) Pathea Games
My Time at Sandrock older $39.99 24,110 88% 723k $29M (exactly $28,924,767) Pathea Games
Coral Island older $29.99 21,828 89% 655k $20M (exactly $19,638,652) Stairway Games
Sun Haven older $24.99 22,069 79% 662k $17M (exactly $16,545,129) Pixel Sprout Studios
Fields of Mistria $13.99 31,918 96% 958k $13M (exactly $13,395,985) NPC Studio
Luma Island $19.99 11,204 84% 336k $6.7M (exactly $6,719,039) Feel Free Games
Immortal Life older $16.99 3,853 79% 116k $2.0M (exactly $1,963,874) YiFang Studio
Cattails | Become a Cat! older $14.99 2,315 95% 69k $1.0M (exactly $1,041,056) Falcon Development
Cattails: Wildwood Story older $19.99 1,479 97% 44k $887k (exactly $886,956) Falcon Development
The Ranchers · EA $24.99 547 57% 16k $410k (exactly $410,086) The Ranchers
Fuel Harvest Together $13.99 879 69% 26k $369k (exactly $368,916) Say2Sun
Gemporium: A Cute Mining Sim $9.99 1,153 93% 35k $346k (exactly $345,554) Merge Conflict Studio
My Little Blacksmith Shop $9.99 1,111 69% 33k $333k (exactly $332,967) Dasius, Noble Games Studio
Medieval Crafter: Blacksmith $11.99 745 76% 22k $268k (exactly $267,976) Compact Core Games
Wild Indigo Ranch $19.99 424 68% 13k $254k (exactly $254,273) Funday Games
Seeds of Calamity $14.99 271 78% 8.1k $122k (exactly $121,869) Laborious Lark Studios
Loafing Town $6.99 531 85% 16k $111k (exactly $111,351) GoblinZz

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.