Do I ship it?

GamesLife SimLife Sim + Military

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Military Life Sim?

Life Sim + Military

Only 12 developers shipped a Military Life Sim in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Quarantine Zone: The Last Check, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 17 more are announced, ×2.4 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $5.4k, ×8.6 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $480; 1 in 20 cleared $7.0M, ×11294 the market median. Revenue is up 70% on the market; 17 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 8.6 times the market baseline, revenue up 70% on the market, 17 announced, ×2.4 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Life Sim + Military
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 12
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $13k → $3.1k → $2.0M (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Life Sim + Military: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 12
Bottom 30% $479 (exactly $479)
Median $5.4k (exactly $5,395)
Top 25% $43k (exactly $42,857)
Top 5% $7.1M (exactly $7,092,652)
Developers, 2 yr 12
Released games 30
Announced 17
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 70% on the market, supply 40% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 7%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Life Sim
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Military
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Life Sim
Price point
$9.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 50% positive over 34,438 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $480, median $5.4k, 1 in 4 over $42k, 1 in 20 over $7.0M.

3 in 10 developers made under $480. 8 in 10 of the 6 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 17 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.4 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Life Sim with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + FMVStrong odds38 devs · median $54k · 21 announced
  2. + MinigamesStrong odds20 devs · median $11k · 19 announced
  3. + MusicStrong odds28 devs · median $9.2k · 20 announced
  4. + Job SimulatorFair144 devs · median $19k · 153 announced
  5. + Football (Soccer)Fair10 devs · median $10k · 16 announced
  6. + FaithFair11 devs · median $9.4k · 13 announced
  7. + Artificial IntelligenceFair92 devs · median $7.3k · 121 announced
  8. + GamblingFair28 devs · median $4.0k · 32 announced
  9. + DemonsFair16 devs · median $2.4k · 22 announced
  10. + Point & ClickFair162 devs · median $2.4k · 219 announced
  11. + LogicFair70 devs · median $1.5k · 74 announced
  12. + ZombiesFair29 devs · median $1.5k · 34 announced

All 173 pairs on the Life Sim page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Quarantine Zone: The Last Check $19.99 11,827 81% 355k $7.1M (exactly $7,092,652) Brigada Games
BidKing $2.99 22,238 33% 667k $2.0M (exactly $1,994,749) MindSurge Network & Games
Finnish Army Simulator · EA older $29.99 500 88% 15k $450k (exactly $449,850) Please Be Patient
Mech Mechanic Simulator older $19.99 538 61% 16k $323k (exactly $322,639) Polyslash
Medic: Pacific War · EA $9.99 143 70% 4.3k $43k (exactly $42,857) Hypnotic Ants
Trailer Shop Simulator older $4.99 265 73% 8.0k $40k (exactly $39,670) GidAzGames
Lucky Lord: The Coin Pusher of Fate $7.99 83 77% 2.5k $20k (exactly $19,895) Star Seeker Studio
Field Hospital: Dr. Taylor's Story older $4.99 105 89% 3.2k $16k (exactly $15,718) Gard Interactive
My Military Life older $4.99 99 90% 3.0k $15k (exactly $14,820) RealStone Studio
Valand older $7.99 54 59% 1.6k $13k (exactly $12,944) LOMS Studio
Trump Simulator 2025 $3.99 106 91% 3.2k $13k (exactly $12,688) Luke Gayson
Prison Escape Simulator $9.99 18 77% 540 $5.4k (exactly $5,395) PEGAX Studios
Gun Shop Manager · EA $12.99 13 38% 390 $5.1k (exactly $5,066) Aiolos Studios, Welter Games
Beggar to Emperor · EA $14.99 7 71% 210 $3.1k (exactly $3,148) We Like Games
Prison Cook Simulator · EA $7.99 2 50% 60 $479 (exactly $479) Alpak Games
Medic Simulator: Combat Zone · EA $11.99 1 100% 30 $360 (exactly $360) Code Lab

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.