Do I ship it?

GamesLife SimLife Sim + Local Co-Op

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Local Co-Op Life Sim?

Life Sim + Local Co-Op

Only 11 developers shipped a Local Co-Op Life Sim in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Cinnabunny, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 22 more are announced, ×5.5 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 4 / 10 build.

Only 4 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $11k against a market of $480. 22 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 24.0 times the market baseline, revenue down 40% on the market, 22 announced, ×5.5 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Life Sim + Local Co-Op
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 11

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Life Sim + Local Co-Op: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 11
Bottom 30% $896 (exactly $896)
Median $11k (exactly $11,389)
Top 25% $49k (exactly $49,279)
Top 5% $302k (exactly $302,129)
Developers, 2 yr 11
Released games 27
Announced 22
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 40% on the market, supply 45% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 11%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Life Sim
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Local Co-Op
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Life Sim, Local Co-Op
Price point
$9.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 9 games average 90% positive over 1,104 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $900, median $11k, 1 in 4 over $49k, 1 in 20 over $300k.

3 in 10 developers made under $900. 4 in 10 of the 7 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 22 games are announced against 4 developers who shipped in the last year, ×5.5 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Life Sim with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + FMVStrong odds38 devs · median $54k · 21 announced
  2. + MinigamesStrong odds20 devs · median $11k · 19 announced
  3. + MusicStrong odds28 devs · median $9.2k · 20 announced
  4. + Job SimulatorFair144 devs · median $19k · 153 announced
  5. + Football (Soccer)Fair10 devs · median $10k · 16 announced
  6. + FaithFair11 devs · median $9.4k · 13 announced
  7. + Artificial IntelligenceFair92 devs · median $7.3k · 121 announced
  8. + GamblingFair28 devs · median $4.0k · 32 announced
  9. + DemonsFair16 devs · median $2.4k · 22 announced
  10. + Point & ClickFair162 devs · median $2.4k · 219 announced
  11. + LogicFair70 devs · median $1.5k · 74 announced
  12. + ZombiesFair29 devs · median $1.5k · 34 announced

All 173 pairs on the Life Sim page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Big Farm Story older $19.99 1,172 78% 35k $703k (exactly $702,848) Goodgame Studios
Moonglow Bay older $24.99 679 66% 20k $509k (exactly $509,046) Bunnyhug
Cinnabunny $24.99 403 96% 12k $302k (exactly $302,129) Reky Studios
Everafter Falls older $19.99 437 86% 13k $262k (exactly $262,069) SquareHusky
Spikair Volleyball · EA older $19.99 303 93% 9.1k $182k (exactly $181,709) Choc Abyss
Mythmatch $19.99 124 98% 3.7k $74k (exactly $74,363) Team Artichoke
Super Mini Mart · EA $11.99 137 81% 4.1k $49k (exactly $49,279) Blazing Panda
Dooms Hair Salon $9.99 134 89% 4.0k $40k (exactly $40,160) Slimebox
Sex With Friends $4.99 236 94% 7.1k $35k (exactly $35,329) B-Team
The Garden Path older $19.99 47 70% 1.4k $28k (exactly $28,186) carrotcake
Neopets - Mega Mini Games Collection - The Neopian Arcade Odyssey $9.99 38 31% 1.1k $11k (exactly $11,389) No Gravity Games
Market Empire Simulator $4.99 14 78% 420 $2.1k (exactly $2,096) Coffeeshake Games
Sunny Reef $1.99 15 86% 450 $896 (exactly $896) GiBar
Late Night Fears $3.99 3 33% 90 $359 (exactly $359) WolfAlert
Environment Protection Ambassador $0.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) CHEN YUANJI

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.