Do I ship it?

GamesLife SimLife Sim + Investigation

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an Investigation Life Sim?

Life Sim + Investigation

Of 49 developers who shipped an Investigation Life Sim in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 95 more are announced, ×3.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $5.1k, ×11 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $720; 1 in 20 cleared $170k, ×369 the market median. Revenue is up 40% on the market; 95 games are announced against 32 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 10.7 times the market baseline, revenue up 40% on the market, 95 announced, ×3.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Life Sim + Investigation
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 49
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $5.0k → $150 → $2.4k → $24k → $15k → $718 → $5.1k (still earning) → $3.6k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Life Sim + Investigation: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 49
Bottom 30% $713 (exactly $713)
Median $5.1k (exactly $5,090)
Top 25% $44k (exactly $43,883)
Top 5% $175k (exactly $175,112)
Developers, 2 yr 49
Released games 99
Announced 95
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $6.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 40% on the market, supply 90% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 11%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Life Sim
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Investigation
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Life Sim, Investigation; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Simulation, Immersive Sim, Choices Matter
Price point
$6.99 typical · top 25% priced $17.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Atmospheric, First-Person
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $17.99 or above; the middle game at $6.99.

The top 10 games average 89% positive over 6,059 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $720, median $5.1k, 1 in 4 over $43k, 1 in 20 over $170k.

3 in 10 developers made under $720. 7 in 10 of the 20 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 95 games are announced against 32 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.0 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Life Sim with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + FMVStrong odds38 devs · median $54k · 21 announced
  2. + MinigamesStrong odds20 devs · median $11k · 19 announced
  3. + MusicStrong odds28 devs · median $9.2k · 20 announced
  4. + Job SimulatorFair144 devs · median $19k · 153 announced
  5. + Football (Soccer)Fair10 devs · median $10k · 16 announced
  6. + FaithFair11 devs · median $9.4k · 13 announced
  7. + Artificial IntelligenceFair92 devs · median $7.3k · 121 announced
  8. + GamblingFair28 devs · median $4.0k · 32 announced
  9. + DemonsFair16 devs · median $2.4k · 22 announced
  10. + Point & ClickFair162 devs · median $2.4k · 219 announced
  11. + LogicFair70 devs · median $1.5k · 74 announced
  12. + ZombiesFair29 devs · median $1.5k · 34 announced

All 173 pairs on the Life Sim page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Parcel Simulator $17.99 2,804 93% 84k $1.5M (exactly $1,513,319) Dansan Digital
Obenseuer · EA older $19.99 1,684 94% 51k $1.0M (exactly $1,009,895) Loiste Interactive
沉默的蟋蟀 older $14.99 1,130 88% 34k $508k (exactly $508,161) 蓬莱飞鱼工作室
Do Not Feed the Monkeys 2099 older $14.99 1,036 68% 31k $466k (exactly $465,889) Fictiorama Studios
Hard Time III older $14.99 929 85% 28k $418k (exactly $417,771) MDickie
The Test: Final Revelation older $1.99 5,286 97% 159k $316k (exactly $315,574) Randumb Studios
Photomaly $6.99 1,292 89% 39k $271k (exactly $270,932) Revira Interactive
The Good Life older $29.99 198 74% 5.9k $178k (exactly $178,141) White Owls Inc.
On Your Tail $19.99 292 87% 8.8k $175k (exactly $175,112) Memorable Games
Repair this! older $6.99 786 88% 24k $165k (exactly $164,824) HGISoft
Sister Ray $11.99 410 95% 12k $147k (exactly $147,477) The Growing Stones
Vtuber Hack $54.99 83 74% 2.5k $137k (exactly $136,925) ベルゼブブ
Emergency Room Simulator $24.99 154 43% 4.6k $115k (exactly $115,454) Caipirinha Games
Shale Hill Secrets $14.99 245 80% 7.4k $110k (exactly $110,176) Love-Joint
1998: The Toll Keeper Story $11.99 292 89% 8.8k $105k (exactly $105,032) GameChanger Studio
Airport X-Ray Simulator · EA $12.99 253 80% 7.6k $99k (exactly $98,594) Rainbow Lab
Nothing To Declare $9.99 234 76% 7.0k $70k (exactly $70,130) Rogue Duck Interactive

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.