Do I ship it?

GamesLife SimLife Sim + Incremental

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an Incremental Life Sim?

Life Sim + Incremental

Of 191 developers who shipped an Incremental Life Sim in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 225 more are announced.

Verdict: fair, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $960, ×2.0 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, with 3 in 10 under $300. Revenue is up 10% on the market; 225 games are announced against 115 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 2.0 times the market baseline, revenue up 10% on the market, 225 announced, ×2.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Life Sim + Incremental
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 191
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $4.9k → $6.5k → $3.9k → $719 → $4.2k → $599 → $1.0k (still earning) → $599 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Life Sim + Incremental: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 191
Bottom 30% $300 (exactly $300)
Median $958 (exactly $958)
Top 25% $7.2k (exactly $7,191)
Top 5% $121k (exactly $120,807)
Developers, 2 yr 191
Released games 414
Announced 225
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 10% on the market, supply 50% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 17%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Life Sim
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Incremental
effort 1 / 10 · high · formulas and upgrade tables

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Life Sim, Incremental; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Simulation, Idler, Management
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $11.99 or above
Art
6 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Relaxing, 2D, Cute
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $11.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 92% positive over 13,023 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $300, median $960, 1 in 4 over $7.1k, 1 in 20 over $120k.

3 in 10 developers made under $300. 8 in 10 of the 100 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 225 games are announced against 115 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Life Sim with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + FMVStrong odds38 devs · median $54k · 21 announced
  2. + MinigamesStrong odds20 devs · median $11k · 19 announced
  3. + MusicStrong odds28 devs · median $9.2k · 20 announced
  4. + Job SimulatorFair144 devs · median $19k · 153 announced
  5. + Football (Soccer)Fair10 devs · median $10k · 16 announced
  6. + FaithFair11 devs · median $9.4k · 13 announced
  7. + Artificial IntelligenceFair92 devs · median $7.3k · 121 announced
  8. + GamblingFair28 devs · median $4.0k · 32 announced
  9. + DemonsFair16 devs · median $2.4k · 22 announced
  10. + Point & ClickFair162 devs · median $2.4k · 219 announced
  11. + LogicFair70 devs · median $1.5k · 74 announced
  12. + ZombiesFair29 devs · median $1.5k · 34 announced

All 173 pairs on the Life Sim page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Ropuka's Idle Island $3.99 4,048 95% 121k $485k (exactly $484,546) Moczan, Little Chmura, Begoña Pereda
恋爱吗?我家猫会后空翻 $9.99 1,508 96% 45k $452k (exactly $451,948) 光循花火工作室
Handyman Legend older $6.99 2,066 89% 62k $433k (exactly $433,240) SupaShinKen Studio
Handyman Fantasy $7.99 1,607 95% 48k $385k (exactly $385,198) SupaShinKen Studio
Aquarium Designer older $9.99 1,086 84% 33k $325k (exactly $325,474) Sigur Studio
Forage Wizard $6.99 1,549 87% 46k $325k (exactly $324,825) Lost Maxim
Kiwi Clicker - Juiced Up older $4.99 1,655 93% 50k $248k (exactly $247,754) Dimitri Kipper
Final Profit: A Shop RPG older $14.99 520 95% 16k $234k (exactly $233,844) Brent Arnold
How to Train Your Cock $3.99 1,875 95% 56k $224k (exactly $224,438) Little Horror Studios
Insomnia: Theater in the Head older $2.49 2,893 96% 87k $216k (exactly $216,107) Perfect Day Studio
Behind Glass: Aquarium Simulator $14.99 390 95% 12k $175k (exactly $175,383) BitBros Inc
Fantasy Aquarium $6.99 833 79% 25k $175k (exactly $174,680) MOON SCAPE
Lakeside Bar $5.99 820 86% 25k $147k (exactly $147,354) BITCOVER
Vtuber Hack $54.99 83 74% 2.5k $137k (exactly $136,925) ベルゼブブ
Breeding City Welcomes you $12.99 310 68% 9.3k $121k (exactly $120,807) meteo.H

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.