Do I ship it?

GamesTower DefenseTower Defense + Horror

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Horror Tower Defense?

Tower Defense + Horror

Of 31 developers who shipped a Horror Tower Defense in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 51 more are announced, ×3.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.4k, ×3.0 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $360; 1 in 20 cleared $740k, ×1578 the market median. Revenue is down 25% on the market; 51 games are announced against 17 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 3.0 times the market baseline, revenue down 25% on the market, 51 announced, ×3.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Tower Defense + Horror
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 31
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $59 → $599 → $2.4k → $4.6k → $2.6k → $359 → $3.0k (still earning) → $359 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Tower Defense + Horror: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 31
Bottom 30% $359 (exactly $359)
Median $1.4k (exactly $1,439)
Top 25% $44k (exactly $44,012)
Top 5% $749k (exactly $749,486)
Developers, 2 yr 31
Released games 92
Announced 51
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $7.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 25% on the market, supply 15% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 9%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Tower Defense
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
Horror
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Tower Defense; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Strategy, Base Building, Building
Price point
$7.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Atmospheric, Cute, Isometric
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $7.99.

The top 10 games average 78% positive over 5,885 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $360, median $1.4k, 1 in 4 over $44k, 1 in 20 over $740k.

3 in 10 developers made under $360. 7 in 10 of the 15 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 51 games are announced against 17 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.0 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Tower Defense with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + DwarvesStrong odds10 devs · median $6.7k · 9 announced
  2. + MiningFair33 devs · median $6.3k · 45 announced
  3. + Survival HorrorFair14 devs · median $1.9k · 16 announced
  4. + CapitalismFair15 devs · median $1.6k · 20 announced
  5. + TanksFair14 devs · median $1.5k · 13 announced
  6. + MechsFair24 devs · median $1.5k · 24 announced
  7. + IdlerFair108 devs · median $1.2k · 136 announced
  8. + PuzzleFair64 devs · median $1.0k · 67 announced
  9. + Gun CustomizationFair26 devs · median $958 · 32 announced
  10. + LogicFair40 devs · median $955 · 44 announced
  11. + On-Rails ShooterFair11 devs · median $899 · 12 announced
  12. + Psychological HorrorFair8 devs · median $897 · 8 announced

All 150 pairs on the Tower Defense page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
7 Days to Die older $44.99 273,589 87% 8.2M $369M (exactly $369,263,073) The Fun Pimps
METAL GEAR SURVIVE older $29.99 3,687 64% 111k $3.3M (exactly $3,317,194) KONAMI
Dread Dawn $19.99 2,113 71% 63k $1.3M (exactly $1,267,166) Kioop
DarkSwitch $34.99 714 77% 21k $749k (exactly $749,486) Cyber Temple
Deck of Haunts $19.99 1,206 84% 36k $723k (exactly $723,238) Mantis
Let Them Come older $7.99 1,084 84% 33k $260k (exactly $259,835) Tuatara Games
Yokai Art: Night Parade of One Hundred Demons older $6.99 1,132 89% 34k $237k (exactly $237,380) Secret Labo
Ghost Master: Resurrection $19.99 374 82% 11k $224k (exactly $224,288) Mechano Story Studio
Alien Shooter TD older $9.99 676 84% 20k $203k (exactly $202,597) Sigma Team Inc.
Deadly 30 older $4.99 1,155 80% 35k $173k (exactly $172,904) Ignatus Zuk and Gonzalo Villagomez
After Long Night $9.99 381 72% 11k $114k (exactly $114,186) 疯狗工作室
Yokai Art 2: Tales of the Nine-Tails $9.99 314 75% 9.4k $94k (exactly $94,106) Secret Labo
Dream Lust $4.99 412 84% 12k $62k (exactly $61,676) Cat Paw Game
KUNKUN Defender 2 $4.99 294 94% 8.8k $44k (exactly $44,012) Seal
DOLLMAKER $8.99 45 97% 1.4k $12k (exactly $12,136) STH
Luna Hollow - Dream Eater Defense $5.99 32 53% 960 $5.8k (exactly $5,750) CHARON, STUDIO CHARON, 月桂樹冠

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.