Do I ship it?

GamesLife SimLife Sim + Horror

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Horror Life Sim?

Life Sim + Horror

Of 116 developers who shipped a Horror Life Sim in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 148 more are announced, ×2.2 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.9k, ×4.1 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $480; 1 in 20 cleared $270k, ×570 the market median. Revenue is up 65% on the market; 148 games are announced against 68 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 4.1 times the market baseline, revenue up 65% on the market, 148 announced, ×2.2 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Life Sim + Horror
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 116
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.4k → $29k → $8.6k → $1.3k → $1.3k → $3.7k → $3.2k (still earning) → $1.0k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Life Sim + Horror: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 116
Bottom 30% $479 (exactly $479)
Median $1.9k (exactly $1,946)
Top 25% $16k (exactly $16,018)
Top 5% $271k (exactly $270,932)
Developers, 2 yr 116
Released games 242
Announced 148
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 65% on the market, supply 35% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 13%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Life Sim
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Horror
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Life Sim; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Simulation, Adventure, Immersive Sim
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
6 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Atmospheric, 3D, First-Person
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 96% positive over 133,859 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $480, median $1.9k, 1 in 4 over $16k, 1 in 20 over $270k.

3 in 10 developers made under $480. 7 in 10 of the 59 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 148 games are announced against 68 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.2 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Life Sim with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + FMVStrong odds38 devs · median $54k · 21 announced
  2. + MinigamesStrong odds20 devs · median $11k · 19 announced
  3. + MusicStrong odds28 devs · median $9.2k · 20 announced
  4. + Job SimulatorFair144 devs · median $19k · 153 announced
  5. + Football (Soccer)Fair10 devs · median $10k · 16 announced
  6. + FaithFair11 devs · median $9.4k · 13 announced
  7. + Artificial IntelligenceFair92 devs · median $7.3k · 121 announced
  8. + GamblingFair28 devs · median $4.0k · 32 announced
  9. + DemonsFair16 devs · median $2.4k · 22 announced
  10. + Point & ClickFair162 devs · median $2.4k · 219 announced
  11. + LogicFair70 devs · median $1.5k · 74 announced
  12. + ZombiesFair29 devs · median $1.5k · 34 announced

All 173 pairs on the Life Sim page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
MiSide $14.99 122,007 97% 3.7M $55M (exactly $54,866,548) AIHASTO
Chinese Parents older $9.99 23,168 91% 695k $6.9M (exactly $6,943,450) 墨鱼玩游戏
60 Seconds! Reatomized older $9.99 18,362 94% 551k $5.5M (exactly $5,503,091) Robot Gentleman
Obenseuer · EA older $19.99 1,684 94% 51k $1.0M (exactly $1,009,895) Loiste Interactive
HELLMART $14.99 1,034 77% 31k $465k (exactly $464,990) GAZE IN GAMES
Static Dread: The Lighthouse $10.90 1,394 90% 42k $456k (exactly $455,838) solarsuit.games
Always Sometimes Monsters older $9.99 1,387 79% 42k $416k (exactly $415,684) Vagabond Dog
Sunken Engine $14.99 814 80% 24k $366k (exactly $366,056) Two Nomads Studio
Hentai Femdom Sim: Femdom University older $34.99 348 79% 10k $365k (exactly $365,296) SaliaCoel
ORDER 13 $8.99 1,224 87% 37k $330k (exactly $330,113) Cybernetic Walrus
Photomaly $6.99 1,292 89% 39k $271k (exactly $270,932) Revira Interactive
SchoolBoy Runaway $1.99 3,731 90% 112k $223k (exactly $222,741) Linked Squad
Escape from Yandere $4.99 1,335 75% 40k $200k (exactly $199,850) VorhGames
Apocalypse with Femboy $12.99 439 89% 13k $171k (exactly $171,078) Pout Honey
Brno Transit $8.99 589 85% 18k $159k (exactly $158,853) Spytihněv

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.