Do I ship it?

GamesLooter ShooterLooter Shooter + Flight

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Flight Looter Shooter?

Looter Shooter + Flight

Only 9 developers shipped a Flight Looter Shooter in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Jump Space, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 25 more are announced, ×3.6 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 8 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $2.1k, ×1.4 the market's $1.5k for a 8 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $1.5k; 1 in 20 cleared $6.4M, ×4293 the market median. Momentum is unreadable here, too few recent games; 25 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.4 times the market baseline, revenue too few recent games to read momentum, 25 announced, ×3.6 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Looter Shooter + Flight
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 9
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $3.9k → $0 → $23k → $35k → $2.1k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Looter Shooter + Flight: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 9
Bottom 30% $1.5k (exactly $1,499)
Median $2.1k (exactly $2,096)
Top 25% $19k (exactly $18,581)
Top 5% $6.4M (exactly $6,431,183)
Developers, 2 yr 9
Released games 32
Announced 25
Effort 8 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 250% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 13%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Looter Shooter
effort 8 / 10 · low · online co-op and a loot economy on top of a shooter
Flight
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
8 / 10 · online systems, open world
Systems
Looter Shooter, Flight
Price point
$9.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $29.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.

The top 10 games average 85% positive over 24,194 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $1.5k, median $2.1k, 1 in 4 over $18k, 1 in 20 over $6.4M.

3 in 10 developers made under $1.5k. 25 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.6 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Looter Shooter with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + MechsFair13 devs · median $219k · 14 announced
  2. + Vehicular CombatFair11 devs · median $15k · 14 announced
  3. + IdlerFair16 devs · median $1.2k · 8 announced
  4. + 3D PlatformerLong shot23 devs · median $449 · 16 announced
  5. + Extraction ShooterPoor odds31 devs · median $71k · 73 announced
  6. + Online Co-OpPoor odds54 devs · median $25k · 136 announced
  7. + Co-opPoor odds56 devs · median $25k · 124 announced
  8. + Twin Stick ShooterPoor odds18 devs · median $16k · 44 announced
  9. + DystopianPoor odds14 devs · median $10k · 45 announced
  10. + Base BuildingPoor odds36 devs · median $9.1k · 74 announced
  11. + Character CustomizationPoor odds50 devs · median $9.0k · 151 announced
  12. + Inventory ManagementPoor odds27 devs · median $6.9k · 61 announced

All 90 pairs on the Looter Shooter page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
EVERSPACE™ 2 older $49.99 12,040 85% 361k $18M (exactly $18,056,388) ROCKFISH Games
Jump Space · EA $19.99 10,724 85% 322k $6.4M (exactly $6,431,183) Keepsake Games
The Brew Barons older $21.99 828 75% 25k $546k (exactly $546,232) Lifetap Studios
Nienix: Cosmic Warfare older $19.99 336 87% 10k $201k (exactly $201,499) HolmCom
Deep Space Exploitation $8.99 131 96% 3.9k $35k (exactly $35,331) JuhrJuhr
Avium older $29.99 26 76% 780 $23k (exactly $23,392) The Robot
Catharage $9.99 62 82% 1.9k $19k (exactly $18,581) Björn Michalski
Wrath and Retribution $9.99 23 91% 690 $6.9k (exactly $6,893) Mad Vulture Games
SPL: Skilled Pilots Live · EA older $14.99 11 90% 330 $4.9k (exactly $4,947) Me Vs Game
Ma3 older $9.99 13 69% 390 $3.9k (exactly $3,896) Matheesan, Ahila
Galaxy Invaders - Eclipse Squadron $4.99 14 100% 420 $2.1k (exactly $2,096) PlayCube Interactive
Under Destruction · EA $18.99 3 66% 90 $1.7k (exactly $1,709) Quantum Dynamics
Starship Fighters: Space Combat Simulator · EA $24.99 2 0% 60 $1.5k (exactly $1,499) Hard Shark Games
Vampire Memories - 吸血鬼的回忆 $4.99 1 0% 30 $150 (exactly $150) Queen Vampire
BlassHole $1.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Nonyx Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.