Do I ship it?

GamesLootLoot + Farming Sim

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Loot Farming Sim?

Loot + Farming Sim

Only 12 developers shipped a Loot Farming Sim in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Eggstreme Farming, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 19 more are announced, ×2.7 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.5k, ×2.4 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $120; 1 in 20 cleared $35k, ×56 the market median. Revenue is down 80% on the market; 19 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 2.4 times the market baseline, revenue down 80% on the market, 19 announced, ×2.7 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Loot + Farming Sim
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 12
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $7.2k → $1.6k → $1.5k → $1.5k → $179 (still earning) → $30 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Loot + Farming Sim: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 12
Bottom 30% $119 (exactly $119)
Median $1.5k (exactly $1,485)
Top 25% $7.2k (exactly $7,195)
Top 5% $35k (exactly $35,439)
Developers, 2 yr 12
Released games 38
Announced 19
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 80% on the market, supply 40% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 11%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Loot
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Farming Sim
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Loot, Farming Sim
Price point
$4.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 73% positive over 345 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $120, median $1.5k, 1 in 4 over $7.1k, 1 in 20 over $35k.

3 in 10 developers made under $120. All of the 6 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 19 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.7 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Loot with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Artificial IntelligenceStrong odds28 devs · median $19k · 22 announced
  2. + Local Co-OpStrong odds22 devs · median $7.3k · 21 announced
  3. + SteampunkStrong odds7 devs · median $2.2k · 10 announced
  4. + CapitalismFair36 devs · median $14k · 52 announced
  5. + Turn-Based StrategyFair86 devs · median $6.3k · 97 announced
  6. + JRPGFair34 devs · median $5.5k · 41 announced
  7. + EconomyFair74 devs · median $4.6k · 114 announced
  8. + IdlerFair181 devs · median $4.5k · 256 announced
  9. + CatsFair17 devs · median $3.4k · 24 announced
  10. + IncrementalFair145 devs · median $2.9k · 236 announced
  11. + Creature CollectorFair51 devs · median $2.9k · 67 announced
  12. + CollectathonFair90 devs · median $1.9k · 95 announced

All 159 pairs on the Loot page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
The Lost Village older $11.99 2,743 70% 82k $987k (exactly $986,657) FunYoo Games
Kitaria Fables older $19.99 1,253 73% 38k $751k (exactly $751,424) Twin Hearts, Secret Level Studios
Backwoods Town · EA older $8.99 192 93% 5.8k $52k (exactly $51,782) Andrii Prots
Eggstreme Farming $6.99 169 73% 5.1k $35k (exactly $35,439) Sagitta Studios
Tile Miner older $14.99 57 61% 1.7k $26k (exactly $25,633) nalothchris, swanee734
Grove Fisher $4.99 98 67% 2.9k $15k (exactly $14,671) EVIL CORP GAMES
仙道孤旅 · EA older $8.99 53 84% 1.6k $14k (exactly $14,294) 仙道
降妖神兵 older $2.99 116 75% 3.5k $10k (exactly $10,405) 易远游戏
Island Idle RPG older $2.99 86 67% 2.6k $7.7k (exactly $7,714) Overaction Game Studio
Tutien Path $14.99 16 81% 480 $7.2k (exactly $7,195) Truong Thanh Triet
CELESTIAL: FIRE & FORGE $4.99 12 41% 360 $1.8k (exactly $1,796) ERA Soft Studio
帝缚山海 · EA $4.99 10 80% 300 $1.5k (exactly $1,497) 赤月抉择
Onyx · EA $9.90 5 100% 150 $1.5k (exactly $1,485) Dark Matter
CHILL FISHING $0.99 30 90% 900 $891 (exactly $891) Sleepy Giant Creations
Enclaved $2.99 2 100% 60 $179 (exactly $179) Digital Platforms Co.
Berry Picker $1.99 2 100% 60 $119 (exactly $119) Azeree
Kill Spewy $1.00 1 100% 30 $30 (exactly $30) Sun Monster FxxL

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.