Do I ship it?

GamesPolitical SimPolitical Sim + Fantasy

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Fantasy Political Sim?

Political Sim + Fantasy

Only 17 developers shipped a Fantasy Political Sim in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Ascension, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 50 more are announced, ×5.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $5.2k, ×11 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $360; 1 in 20 cleared $1.4M, ×3077 the market median. Revenue is up 1065% on the market; 50 games are announced against 10 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 11.0 times the market baseline, revenue up 1065% on the market, 50 announced, ×5.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Political Sim + Fantasy
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 17
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $46k → $2.4k → $40k → $3.0k → $6.2k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Political Sim + Fantasy: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 17
Bottom 30% $359 (exactly $359)
Median $5.2k (exactly $5,242)
Top 25% $40k (exactly $39,580)
Top 5% $1.5M (exactly $1,461,469)
Developers, 2 yr 17
Released games 41
Announced 50
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 1065% on the market, supply 45% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 2%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Political Sim
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Fantasy
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Political Sim; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Strategy, Choices Matter, Life Sim
Price point
$9.99 typical · top 25% priced $24.99 or above
Art
6 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Story Rich
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $24.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.

The top 10 games average 68% positive over 4,631 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $360, median $5.2k, 1 in 4 over $39k, 1 in 20 over $1.4M.

3 in 10 developers made under $360. 7 in 10 of the 7 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 50 games are announced against 10 developers who shipped in the last year, ×5.0 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Political Sim with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + DetectiveFair10 devs · median $9.9k · 15 announced
  2. + Psychological HorrorFair10 devs · median $4.8k · 16 announced
  3. + IdlerFair20 devs · median $1.2k · 14 announced
  4. + IncrementalFair17 devs · median $832 · 16 announced
  5. + Board GameFair18 devs · median $600 · 13 announced
  6. + TabletopFair12 devs · median $600 · 12 announced
  7. + CombatPoor odds14 devs · median $49k · 22 announced
  8. + Sci-fiPoor odds24 devs · median $17k · 33 announced
  9. + FuturisticPoor odds16 devs · median $15k · 27 announced
  10. + 4XPoor odds29 devs · median $12k · 50 announced
  11. + Cold WarPoor odds15 devs · median $9.9k · 23 announced
  12. + BuildingPoor odds37 devs · median $9.6k · 83 announced

All 72 pairs on the Political Sim page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
WorldBox - God Simulator · EA older $19.99 51,071 95% 1.5M $31M (exactly $30,627,279) Maxim Karpenko
Ages of Conflict: World War Simulator · EA older $6.99 8,904 96% 267k $1.9M (exactly $1,867,169) JoySpark Games
Long Live The Queen older $9.99 5,832 94% 175k $1.7M (exactly $1,747,850) Hanako Games
Ascension · EA $19.99 2,437 60% 73k $1.5M (exactly $1,461,469) Element Game 微元游戏
The Life and Suffering of Prince Jerian $24.99 1,356 74% 41k $1.0M (exactly $1,016,593) Schisma Games
Shadows of Forbidden Gods older $19.99 1,046 91% 31k $627k (exactly $627,286) Bobby Two Hands
King Of The Castle older $9.99 1,403 90% 42k $420k (exactly $420,479) Tributary Games
Deisim older $14.99 873 93% 26k $393k (exactly $392,588) Myron Games
Democracy 3 Africa older $16.99 377 73% 11k $192k (exactly $192,157) Positech Games
Galaxy Princess Zorana $24.99 154 88% 4.6k $115k (exactly $115,454) Hanako Games
Pandora's Toybox $9.99 372 83% 11k $111k (exactly $111,488) BetaLab
Medieval Legacy $19.99 66 86% 2.0k $40k (exactly $39,580) Ninetoplay
Demon Maiden and Slave Summoning $10.99 106 82% 3.2k $35k (exactly $34,948) Sunspot
Magic Forge Tycoon $11.99 82 69% 2.5k $29k (exactly $29,495) Clever Trickster Studio, Clever Trickst… (Clever Trickster Studio, Clever Trickster Productions)
Ascendant Dawn $15.99 13 84% 390 $6.2k (exactly $6,236) Nikous Studio
Balorizon $6.99 25 68% 750 $5.2k (exactly $5,242) Renka
Pitchforks and Daggers $4.99 20 85% 600 $3.0k (exactly $2,994) Idan Sheinkman

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.