Do I ship it?

GamesPuzzlePuzzle + Faith

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Faith Puzzle game?

Puzzle + Faith

Of 36 developers who shipped a Faith Puzzle game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 67 more are announced, ×3.2 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 3 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $600, ×1.3 the market's $480 for a 3 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $89; 1 in 20 cleared $130k, ×292 the market median. Revenue is up 305% on the market; 67 games are announced against 21 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.3 times the market baseline, revenue up 305% on the market, 67 announced, ×3.2 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Puzzle + Faith
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 36
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.3k → $838 → $1.8k → $179 → $359 → $239 (still earning) → $6.3k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Puzzle + Faith: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 36
Bottom 30% $89 (exactly $89)
Median $599 (exactly $599)
Top 25% $3.6k (exactly $3,565)
Top 5% $139k (exactly $138,638)
Developers, 2 yr 36
Released games 114
Announced 67
Effort 3 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 305% on the market, supply 40% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 9%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

Puzzle
effort 2 / 10 · high · discrete rules, levels are data
Faith
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
Systems
Puzzle; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, Action, Exploration
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Story Rich, 2D, First-Person
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 90% positive over 1,321 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $89, median $600, 1 in 4 over $3.5k, 1 in 20 over $130k.

3 in 10 developers made under $89. All of the 17 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 67 games are announced against 21 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.2 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Puzzle with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Job SimulatorFair57 devs · median $8.2k · 53 announced
  2. + Medical SimFair17 devs · median $6.1k · 27 announced
  3. + Roguelike DeckbuilderFair40 devs · median $3.6k · 54 announced
  4. + Escape RoomFair161 devs · median $1.8k · 150 announced
  5. + VampiresFair46 devs · median $1.7k · 37 announced
  6. + CatsFair281 devs · median $1.2k · 334 announced
  7. + DemonsFair233 devs · median $1.2k · 248 announced
  8. + God GameFair27 devs · median $1.2k · 30 announced
  9. + RomanceFair209 devs · median $1.0k · 251 announced
  10. + AutomationFair135 devs · median $1.0k · 164 announced
  11. + Tower DefenseFair64 devs · median $1.0k · 67 announced
  12. + LemmingsFair13 devs · median $959 · 11 announced

All 246 pairs on the Puzzle page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
FAITH: The Unholy Trinity older $14.99 8,006 95% 240k $3.6M (exactly $3,600,298) Airdorf Games
Feed The Pit $9.99 635 97% 19k $190k (exactly $190,310) Curious Fox Sox
Help Me Remember, Satori-sama! older $6.99 821 91% 25k $172k (exactly $172,164) ISY
SUFFOCATE $16.99 272 83% 8.2k $139k (exactly $138,638) Naughty Cow
The Herbalist older $5.99 648 93% 19k $116k (exactly $116,446) Moonworks
秘封フラグメント older $14.99 178 97% 5.3k $80k (exactly $80,047) シカクゲームズ
Kubinashi Recollection older $11.99 167 94% 5.0k $60k (exactly $60,070) 給食頭蛮
TEOCIDA older $9.99 140 95% 4.2k $42k (exactly $41,958) Vikintor
Reimu Needs Help!? Aunn-chan to the Rescue! older $6.99 157 96% 4.7k $33k (exactly $32,923) ISY
Keine's Expanding Class! $5.99 143 99% 4.3k $26k (exactly $25,697) HornyMelon
Touhou Three Noisy Fairies' Adventure ~ Take it Easy $9.99 65 75% 2.0k $19k (exactly $19,480) 狐狸壶工作室
东方裁判梦~Rookie Attorney Legendry $4.99 96 63% 2.9k $14k (exactly $14,371) YEARS
Vampire Hunter: Nightrise $14.99 31 93% 930 $14k (exactly $13,941) Over The Moon
Spiritus Sancti $12.99 29 82% 870 $11k (exactly $11,301) Divider Studios
Where Are You? $13.99 15 100% 450 $6.3k (exactly $6,296) Three Crosses Projects - Jannik Pachal
宽恕我(Show me mercy) $6.99 17 70% 510 $3.6k (exactly $3,565) Evelita Studio
Bible Puzzle: Christian Game $3.99 18 94% 540 $2.2k (exactly $2,155) Or Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.