Do I ship it?

GamesLife SimLife Sim + Dystopian

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Dystopian Life Sim?

Life Sim + Dystopian

Of 30 developers who shipped a Dystopian Life Sim in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 56 more are announced, ×2.8 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $3.9k, ×8.2 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $480; 1 in 20 cleared $450k, ×960 the market median. Revenue is down 80% on the market; 56 games are announced against 20 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 8.2 times the market baseline, revenue down 80% on the market, 56 announced, ×2.8 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Life Sim + Dystopian
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 30
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $5.0k → $6.5k → $3.0k → $148 → $44k → $2.4k → $494 (still earning) → $478 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Life Sim + Dystopian: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 30
Bottom 30% $478 (exactly $478)
Median $3.9k (exactly $3,897)
Top 25% $16k (exactly $16,301)
Top 5% $456k (exactly $455,838)
Developers, 2 yr 30
Released games 72
Announced 56
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 80% on the market, supply 100% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 15%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Life Sim
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Dystopian
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Life Sim; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Simulation, Choices Matter, Immersive Sim
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $12.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Atmospheric, Story Rich, 2D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $12.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 78% positive over 8,061 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $480, median $3.9k, 1 in 4 over $16k, 1 in 20 over $450k.

3 in 10 developers made under $480. 7 in 10 of the 14 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 56 games are announced against 20 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.8 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Life Sim with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + FMVStrong odds38 devs · median $54k · 21 announced
  2. + MinigamesStrong odds20 devs · median $11k · 19 announced
  3. + MusicStrong odds28 devs · median $9.2k · 20 announced
  4. + Job SimulatorFair144 devs · median $19k · 153 announced
  5. + Football (Soccer)Fair10 devs · median $10k · 16 announced
  6. + FaithFair11 devs · median $9.4k · 13 announced
  7. + Artificial IntelligenceFair92 devs · median $7.3k · 121 announced
  8. + GamblingFair28 devs · median $4.0k · 32 announced
  9. + DemonsFair16 devs · median $2.4k · 22 announced
  10. + Point & ClickFair162 devs · median $2.4k · 219 announced
  11. + LogicFair70 devs · median $1.5k · 74 announced
  12. + ZombiesFair29 devs · median $1.5k · 34 announced

All 173 pairs on the Life Sim page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
VA-11 Hall-A: Cyberpunk Bartender Action older $14.99 33,838 97% 1.0M $15M (exactly $15,216,949) Sukeban Games
ANEURISM IV $9.99 5,686 75% 171k $1.7M (exactly $1,704,094) Vellocet
Not Tonight older $19.99 2,220 84% 67k $1.3M (exactly $1,331,334) PanicBarn
Obenseuer · EA older $19.99 1,684 94% 51k $1.0M (exactly $1,009,895) Loiste Interactive
Landlord's Super older $19.99 1,442 80% 43k $865k (exactly $864,767) Minskworks
Do Not Feed the Monkeys 2099 older $14.99 1,036 68% 31k $466k (exactly $465,889) Fictiorama Studios
Static Dread: The Lighthouse $10.90 1,394 90% 42k $456k (exactly $455,838) solarsuit.games
Hentai Femdom Sim: Femdom University older $34.99 348 79% 10k $365k (exactly $365,296) SaliaCoel
Not Tonight 2 older $19.99 465 76% 14k $279k (exactly $278,860) PanicBarn
Booth: A Dystopian Adventure older $9.99 354 88% 11k $106k (exactly $106,094) Guanpeng Chen
Sex Desert: Mad Lust $9.99 323 61% 9.7k $97k (exactly $96,803) Carnality INC
UncleOffice:uncle Dating Simulator $15.99 92 61% 2.8k $44k (exactly $44,132) GameUncle
Choice of Life: Samosbor $4.99 236 87% 7.1k $35k (exactly $35,329) Blazing Planet Studio
Legitimate Space Corp Simulator LLC $12.99 82 69% 2.5k $32k (exactly $31,955) VHornet Games
Something to Drink? $9.99 84 98% 2.5k $25k (exactly $25,175) Adam's Games
Quality Dreams, Reasonably Priced $16.98 32 100% 960 $16k (exactly $16,301) zorkie studios
The State of Nowhere $19.99 26 88% 780 $16k (exactly $15,592) Anomaly Works
Trump Simulator 2025 $3.99 106 91% 3.2k $13k (exactly $12,688) Luke Gayson

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.