Do I ship it?

GamesDungeon CrawlerDungeon Crawler + Sokoban

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Sokoban Dungeon Crawler?

Dungeon Crawler + Sokoban

Only 14 developers shipped a Sokoban Dungeon Crawler in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, He Who Watches, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 19 more are announced, ×3.2 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.8k, ×3.8 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $120; 1 in 20 cleared $65k, ×138 the market median. Revenue is up 1620% on the market; 19 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 3.8 times the market baseline, revenue up 1620% on the market, 19 announced, ×3.2 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Dungeon Crawler + Sokoban
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 14
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $599 → $1.5k → $716 → $120 → $298 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Dungeon Crawler + Sokoban: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 14
Bottom 30% $120 (exactly $120)
Median $1.8k (exactly $1,797)
Top 25% $6.9k (exactly $6,866)
Top 5% $65k (exactly $65,367)
Developers, 2 yr 14
Released games 46
Announced 19
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $3.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 1620% on the market, supply 25% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 11%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Dungeon Crawler
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Sokoban
effort 2 / 10 · high · grid pushing rules and level files

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Dungeon Crawler, Sokoban
Price point
$3.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 86% positive over 496 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $120, median $1.8k, 1 in 4 over $6.8k, 1 in 20 over $65k.

3 in 10 developers made under $120. 9 in 10 of the 11 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 19 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.2 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Dungeon Crawler with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Time ManagementFair35 devs · median $7.0k · 44 announced
  2. + GamblingFair16 devs · median $7.0k · 17 announced
  3. + DiceFair24 devs · median $5.1k · 32 announced
  4. + Artificial IntelligenceFair29 devs · median $2.3k · 38 announced
  5. + Local Co-OpFair49 devs · median $1.8k · 60 announced
  6. + ZombiesFair65 devs · median $1.0k · 74 announced
  7. + Word GameFair12 devs · median $899 · 15 announced
  8. + ThrillerFair45 devs · median $716 · 46 announced
  9. + Walking SimulatorFair59 devs · median $479 · 62 announced
  10. + Score AttackFair29 devs · median $479 · 33 announced
  11. + MMORPGPoor odds10 devs · median $144k · 80 announced
  12. + DwarvesPoor odds8 devs · median $55k · 30 announced

All 175 pairs on the Dungeon Crawler page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Backrooms Cats and Lava older $29.99 105 79% 3.2k $94k (exactly $94,468) Galactic Geckon
He Who Watches $19.99 109 96% 3.3k $65k (exactly $65,367) Bobby Vanden
Lord Ambermaze $14.99 131 91% 3.9k $59k (exactly $58,911) Potata Company
Nazi Furry older $6.99 151 82% 4.5k $32k (exactly $31,665) Furry Tails
Cramped Room of Death older $14.99 69 94% 2.1k $31k (exactly $31,029) Hafiz Mohd Rozlan
Waifus Smash older $2.99 205 78% 6.2k $18k (exactly $18,388) Galart
Wilderplace older $12.99 29 100% 870 $11k (exactly $11,301) Saman Bemel-Benrud, Micah Fitch, Tom Lu… (Saman Bemel-Benrud, Micah Fitch, Tom Lubanovic)
黎明为歌 - Melody before the Dawn older $4.99 62 88% 1.9k $9.3k (exactly $9,281) Rolling Cat Studio
Demon Corporation: Onboarding $6.99 42 95% 1.3k $8.8k (exactly $8,807) A Shrine of Ludens
Chess Dungeons older $9.99 24 79% 720 $7.2k (exactly $7,193) Remix Games, Luis Fae
Blockmind · EA $1.99 115 78% 3.5k $6.9k (exactly $6,866) Quacky Games
Fell in love with the Nobility girl As a member of the rebel organization $6.99 28 78% 840 $5.9k (exactly $5,872) selenophobia
Margarita (Berkeley's Maid: Remake Edition) · EA $1.60 43 60% 1.3k $2.1k (exactly $2,064) Muharukahana Studio, Cydron
Stinky Cat $5.99 10 100% 300 $1.8k (exactly $1,797) Utterly Useless
博物魅影 $1.99 12 91% 360 $716 (exactly $716) 图南工作室(Tunan Studio)
ACHIEVEMENT MAZE $1.99 5 80% 150 $298 (exactly $298) HuntForge
Maze Odyssey $3.99 1 100% 30 $120 (exactly $120) SolarCrystalStudios

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.