Do I ship it?

GamesDungeon CrawlerDungeon Crawler + Quick-Time Events

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Quick-Time Events Dungeon Crawler?

Dungeon Crawler + Quick-Time Events

Only 16 developers shipped a Quick-Time Events Dungeon Crawler in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Nocan's Quest: Sex Gold Glory, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 16 more are announced.

Verdict: dead, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $270 in the last 2 years and $270 over 4, against a market of $480 for a 4 / 10 build. 10 developers shipped in the last year and 16 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.6 times the market baseline, revenue down 15% on the market, 16 announced, ×1.6 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Dungeon Crawler + Quick-Time Events
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 16
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.6k → $537 → $1.3k (still earning) → $0 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Dungeon Crawler + Quick-Time Events: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 16
Bottom 30% $0 (exactly $0)
Median $269 (exactly $269)
Top 25% $1.3k (exactly $1,259)
Top 5% $50k (exactly $50,050)
Developers, 2 yr 16
Released games 29
Announced 16
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $6.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 15% on the market, supply 65% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 14%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Dungeon Crawler
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Quick-Time Events
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Dungeon Crawler, Quick-Time Events; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry RPG, Roguelike, Action
Price point
$6.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Nonlinear
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $6.99.

The top 10 games average 68% positive over 279 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $270, 1 in 4 over $1.2k, 1 in 20 over $50k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. 9 in 10 of the 8 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 16 games are announced against 10 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Dungeon Crawler with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Time ManagementFair35 devs · median $7.0k · 44 announced
  2. + GamblingFair16 devs · median $7.0k · 17 announced
  3. + DiceFair24 devs · median $5.1k · 32 announced
  4. + Artificial IntelligenceFair29 devs · median $2.3k · 38 announced
  5. + Local Co-OpFair49 devs · median $1.8k · 60 announced
  6. + ZombiesFair65 devs · median $1.0k · 74 announced
  7. + Word GameFair12 devs · median $899 · 15 announced
  8. + ThrillerFair45 devs · median $716 · 46 announced
  9. + Walking SimulatorFair59 devs · median $479 · 62 announced
  10. + Score AttackFair29 devs · median $479 · 33 announced
  11. + MMORPGPoor odds10 devs · median $144k · 80 announced
  12. + DwarvesPoor odds8 devs · median $55k · 30 announced

All 175 pairs on the Dungeon Crawler page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Nocan's Quest: Sex Gold Glory $9.99 167 69% 5.0k $50k (exactly $50,050) Kinky Business Group
Ragnar $14.99 61 83% 1.8k $27k (exactly $27,432) Fimbulwinter Games
Type or Die $13.99 29 31% 870 $12k (exactly $12,171) Type or Die
The Way of Cooking older $7.99 12 91% 360 $2.9k (exactly $2,876) 大连酷码星数字科技有限公司
Damsels of Vice older $9.99 8 75% 240 $2.4k (exactly $2,398) Overlord Empire LLC
The shadow of the evil tower older $4.99 11 100% 330 $1.6k (exactly $1,647) TitaniumCore Game
Moving Shadows older $4.99 10 100% 300 $1.5k (exactly $1,497) Ethan Harris-Austin
Slot or Die $13.99 3 33% 90 $1.3k (exactly $1,259) cr0cq
Who Are You? older $1.99 14 42% 420 $836 (exactly $836) Seasonbean Team
Roxanne The Forgotten Path $11.99 2 50% 60 $719 (exactly $719) Steven Meza, MarosGraphic 7
Escape from Spikes $1.99 9 100% 270 $537 (exactly $537) Biversen, Ytsejam Game
Ethereal Fracture $4.99 3 66% 90 $449 (exactly $449) Rubén Arranz
10 Blaze Escape $2.99 3 66% 90 $269 (exactly $269) Sudan Minami
MandarinMastermind · EA $6.99 1 0% 30 $210 (exactly $210) J.Chen
Roguemaze Ultimate $5.99 1 100% 30 $180 (exactly $180) SeaMelon

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.