Do I ship it?

GamesDungeon CrawlerDungeon Crawler + Metroidvania

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Metroidvania Dungeon Crawler?

Dungeon Crawler + Metroidvania

Of 33 developers who shipped a Metroidvania Dungeon Crawler in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 108 more are announced, ×6.8 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $6.6k, ×14 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $720; 1 in 20 cleared $620k, ×1323 the market median. Revenue is up 790% on the market; 108 games are announced against 16 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 13.9 times the market baseline, revenue up 790% on the market, 108 announced, ×6.8 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Dungeon Crawler + Metroidvania
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 33
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.0k → $1.5k → $21k → $42k → $2.6k → $59k → $8.1k (still earning) → $12k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Dungeon Crawler + Metroidvania: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 33
Bottom 30% $719 (exactly $719)
Median $6.6k (exactly $6,587)
Top 25% $35k (exactly $34,627)
Top 5% $628k (exactly $628,231)
Developers, 2 yr 33
Released games 109
Announced 108
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $11.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 790% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.

Free games: 11%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Dungeon Crawler
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Metroidvania
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Dungeon Crawler, Metroidvania; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, RPG, Action-Adventure
Price point
$11.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Pixel Graphics, 2D, Difficult
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $11.99.

The top 10 games average 84% positive over 4,164 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $720, median $6.6k, 1 in 4 over $34k, 1 in 20 over $620k.

3 in 10 developers made under $720. 9 in 10 of the 20 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 108 games are announced against 16 developers who shipped in the last year, ×6.8 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Dungeon Crawler with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Time ManagementFair35 devs · median $7.0k · 44 announced
  2. + GamblingFair16 devs · median $7.0k · 17 announced
  3. + DiceFair24 devs · median $5.1k · 32 announced
  4. + Artificial IntelligenceFair29 devs · median $2.3k · 38 announced
  5. + Local Co-OpFair49 devs · median $1.8k · 60 announced
  6. + ZombiesFair65 devs · median $1.0k · 74 announced
  7. + Word GameFair12 devs · median $899 · 15 announced
  8. + ThrillerFair45 devs · median $716 · 46 announced
  9. + Walking SimulatorFair59 devs · median $479 · 62 announced
  10. + Score AttackFair29 devs · median $479 · 33 announced
  11. + MMORPGPoor odds10 devs · median $144k · 80 announced
  12. + DwarvesPoor odds8 devs · median $55k · 30 announced

All 175 pairs on the Dungeon Crawler page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Death's Door older $19.99 19,330 93% 580k $12M (exactly $11,592,201) Acid Nerve
Lunacid older $13.99 10,371 90% 311k $4.4M (exactly $4,352,709) KIRA LLC
Dungreed older $9.99 8,988 93% 270k $2.7M (exactly $2,693,704) TEAM HORAY
Crypt Custodian older $19.99 2,927 96% 88k $1.8M (exactly $1,755,322) Kyle Thompson
Frontier Hunter: Erza’s Wheel of Fortune older $24.99 1,914 82% 57k $1.4M (exactly $1,434,926) IceSitruuna
Ogu and the Secret Forest older $24.99 1,817 94% 55k $1.4M (exactly $1,362,205) Moonlab Studio, Sinkhole Studio
Little Noah: Scion of Paradise older $14.99 2,172 92% 65k $977k (exactly $976,748) Cygames, Inc., Grounding Inc.
Patch Quest older $14.99 2,058 94% 62k $925k (exactly $925,483) Lychee Game Labs
Verho - Curse of Faces $19.99 1,219 91% 37k $731k (exactly $731,034) Kasur Games
Goblin Vyke: The Thief Tycoon $14.99 1,397 70% 42k $628k (exactly $628,231) Art Thieves
Dunjungle $14.99 692 96% 21k $311k (exactly $311,192) Bruno Bombardi
Elementallis $17.99 263 90% 7.9k $142k (exactly $141,941) AnKae Games
Paper Animal Adventure · EA $14.99 139 95% 4.2k $63k (exactly $62,508) Cuddling Raccoons Studio
Lord Ambermaze $14.99 131 91% 3.9k $59k (exactly $58,911) Potata Company
Isle of Reveries $19.99 87 91% 2.6k $52k (exactly $52,174) desertcucco
Elmarion: the Lost Temple $14.99 93 67% 2.8k $42k (exactly $41,822) Fleon Games
Last Vanguard $14.99 77 81% 2.3k $35k (exactly $34,627) Cool Tapir Studios
Lost in the World of Succubi $13.99 66 81% 2.0k $28k (exactly $27,700) Shimofumi-ya

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.