Do I ship it?

GamesDungeon CrawlerDungeon Crawler + Dynamic Narration

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Dynamic Narration Dungeon Crawler?

Dungeon Crawler + Dynamic Narration

Only 10 developers shipped a Dynamic Narration Dungeon Crawler in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Lethal Honor - Order of the Apocalypse, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 20 more are announced, ×3.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $720, ×1.5 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $360; 1 in 20 cleared $21k, ×46 the market median. Revenue is down 55% on the market; 20 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.5 times the market baseline, revenue down 55% on the market, 20 announced, ×3.3 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Dungeon Crawler + Dynamic Narration
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 10

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Dungeon Crawler + Dynamic Narration: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 10
Bottom 30% $359 (exactly $359)
Median $719 (exactly $719)
Top 25% $3.7k (exactly $3,654)
Top 5% $22k (exactly $21,741)
Developers, 2 yr 10
Released games 27
Announced 20
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 55% on the market, supply 50% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 7%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Dungeon Crawler
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Dynamic Narration
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Dungeon Crawler, Dynamic Narration
Price point
$5.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 92% positive over 129 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $360, median $720, 1 in 4 over $3.6k, 1 in 20 over $21k.

3 in 10 developers made under $360. 20 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.3 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Dungeon Crawler with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Time ManagementFair35 devs · median $7.0k · 44 announced
  2. + GamblingFair16 devs · median $7.0k · 17 announced
  3. + DiceFair24 devs · median $5.1k · 32 announced
  4. + Artificial IntelligenceFair29 devs · median $2.3k · 38 announced
  5. + Local Co-OpFair49 devs · median $1.8k · 60 announced
  6. + ZombiesFair65 devs · median $1.0k · 74 announced
  7. + Word GameFair12 devs · median $899 · 15 announced
  8. + ThrillerFair45 devs · median $716 · 46 announced
  9. + Walking SimulatorFair59 devs · median $479 · 62 announced
  10. + Score AttackFair29 devs · median $479 · 33 announced
  11. + MMORPGPoor odds10 devs · median $144k · 80 announced
  12. + DwarvesPoor odds8 devs · median $55k · 30 announced

All 175 pairs on the Dungeon Crawler page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Young Souls older $24.99 494 84% 15k $370k (exactly $370,352) 1P2P
Lust Bunker [18+] older $9.99 130 66% 3.9k $39k (exactly $38,961) BanzaiProject
Uberlaufer · EA older $10.00 74 83% 2.2k $22k (exactly $22,200) Think Tank Decoy Software LLC
Lethal Honor - Order of the Apocalypse $24.99 29 96% 870 $22k (exactly $21,741) Viral Studios
Rain City older $3.99 127 56% 3.8k $15k (exactly $15,202) big pineapple
Paramnesia: Escape Together older $8.99 43 90% 1.3k $12k (exactly $11,597) Suymo
Aris Arcanum $14.99 19 73% 570 $8.5k (exactly $8,544) Broken Cane
FEAR background older $9.99 23 13% 690 $6.9k (exactly $6,893) 5K Gamers
Ceaseless Night older $14.99 13 76% 390 $5.8k (exactly $5,846) JABDP Studio
Teacher Certification Hell older $3.99 34 73% 1.0k $4.1k (exactly $4,070) HaoHao Games
KunSpace $2.10 58 96% 1.7k $3.7k (exactly $3,654) DeadManLi
Hate-Gem Rise Of Demon · EA $4.99 11 100% 330 $1.6k (exactly $1,647) ElLeonGamer
Roxanne The Forgotten Path $11.99 2 50% 60 $719 (exactly $719) Steven Meza, MarosGraphic 7
United by a Fairy Tale $6.99 2 100% 60 $419 (exactly $419) Capky Games
Intermundia: Dungeons, Polygons & Magic · EA $5.99 2 50% 60 $359 (exactly $359) Trinity Team, Excaliber
Cognite $3.99 3 100% 90 $359 (exactly $359) Frosted Wings Studio
NEKRO3 · EA $2.99 2 100% 60 $179 (exactly $179) CHVDR
Endless Roll $3.49 1 100% 30 $105 (exactly $105) Hermit Hollow

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.