Games › Puzzle › Puzzle + Dragons
Should I ship a Dragon Puzzle game?
Puzzle + Dragons
Of 38 developers who shipped a Dragon Puzzle game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 57 more are announced, ×2.7 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $1.3k, ×2.1 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $240; 1 in 20 cleared $77k, ×124 the market median. Revenue is up 185% on the market; 57 games are announced against 21 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $239 (exactly $239) |
|---|---|
| Median | $1.3k (exactly $1,317) |
| Top 25% | $3.4k (exactly $3,358) |
| Top 5% | $78k (exactly $77,678) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 38 |
| Released games | 141 |
| Announced | 57 |
| Effort | 5 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $5.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 185% on the market, supply 10% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 13%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
What it takes
- Effort
- 5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
- Systems
- Puzzle; 3 in 10 of the top 25% also carry RPG, Adventure, Action
- Price point
- $5.99 typical · top 25% priced $9.99 or above
- Art
- 3 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, 3D, Cute
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $9.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.
The top 10 games average 90% positive over 966 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $240. Nearly all of the 24 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 57 games are announced against 21 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.7 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Puzzle with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Job SimulatorFair
- + Medical SimFair
- + Roguelike DeckbuilderFair
- + Escape RoomFair
- + VampiresFair
- + CatsFair
- + DemonsFair
- + God GameFair
- + RomanceFair
- + AutomationFair
- + Tower DefenseFair
- + LemmingsFair
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Word Game | older | $34.99 | 5,930 93% | 178k | $6.2M (exactly $6,224,721) | Team9 |
| | Storyteller | older | $14.99 | 8,169 88% | 245k | $3.7M (exactly $3,673,599) | Daniel Benmergui |
| | Hammerwatch II | older | $24.99 | 1,871 60% | 56k | $1.4M (exactly $1,402,689) | Crackshell |
| | Amerzone - The Explorer's Legacy | $39.99 | 526 90% | 16k | $631k (exactly $631,042) | Microids Studio Paris | |
| | Toren | older | $9.99 | 954 64% | 29k | $286k (exactly $285,914) | Swordtales |
| | Golf Around! | older | $9.99 | 823 94% | 25k | $247k (exactly $246,653) | Hough Studio |
| | Sex and the Furry Titty | older | $6.99 | 996 90% | 30k | $209k (exactly $208,861) | Furlough Games |
| | DreamWorks Dragons: Dawn of New Riders | older | $29.99 | 158 90% | 4.7k | $142k (exactly $142,153) | Climax Studios Ltd. |
| | Dungeon Of Dragon Knight | older | $11.99 | 315 74% | 9.5k | $113k (exactly $113,306) | HexGameStudio |
| | 文字遊戯(日本語版) | $34.99 | 74 90% | 2.2k | $78k (exactly $77,678) | Team9, ESQUADRA,inc. | |
| | Ultimate Drummer | $5.99 | 170 98% | 5.1k | $31k (exactly $30,549) | Cool 3D World | |
| | Spellbound Beauties | $6.99 | 72 83% | 2.2k | $15k (exactly $15,098) | Lunar Kiss Games | |
| | Rune Ark | $6.99 | 29 65% | 870 | $6.1k (exactly $6,081) | WelesGames | |
| | DungeonSweeper | $7.99 | 21 76% | 630 | $5.0k (exactly $5,034) | Smoketree Studios | |
| | Katana Dragon | $9.99 | 16 81% | 480 | $4.8k (exactly $4,795) | Tsunoa Games | |
| | Scale Mail | $3.99 | 34 100% | 1.0k | $4.1k (exactly $4,070) | Jam Jar Game Studio | |
| | Spire Blast | $6.99 | 17 100% | 510 | $3.6k (exactly $3,565) | Orbital Knight | |
| | One more gem | $15.99 | 7 100% | 210 | $3.4k (exactly $3,358) | Cosmin Munteanu |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
Your address goes to Buttondown, which sends the letter, and nowhere else. Every issue has an unsubscribe link. No tracking beyond the open count Buttondown keeps.