Do I ship it?

GamesLife SimLife Sim + Dinosaurs

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Dinosaur Life Sim?

Life Sim + Dinosaurs

Only 6 developers shipped a Dinosaur Life Sim in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Amber Isle, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 17 more are announced, ×5.7 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 6 / 10 build.

Only 3 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $1.7k against a market of $630. 17 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 2.7 times the market baseline, revenue down 100% on the market, 17 announced, ×5.7 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Life Sim + Dinosaurs
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 6

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Life Sim + Dinosaurs: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 6
Bottom 30% $0 (exactly $0)
Median $1.7k (exactly $1,678)
Top 25% $34k (exactly $33,728)
Top 5% $1.3M (exactly $1,326,969)
Developers, 2 yr 6
Released games 25
Announced 17
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $14.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply as many developers as the period before.

Free games: 20%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Life Sim
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Dinosaurs
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Life Sim
Price point
$14.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $24.99 or above; the middle game at $8.99.

The top 10 games average 86% positive over 8,431 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $1.7k, 1 in 4 over $33k, 1 in 20 over $1.3M.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. 17 games are announced against 3 developers who shipped in the last year, ×5.7 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Life Sim with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + FMVStrong odds38 devs · median $54k · 21 announced
  2. + MinigamesStrong odds20 devs · median $11k · 19 announced
  3. + MusicStrong odds28 devs · median $9.2k · 20 announced
  4. + Job SimulatorFair144 devs · median $19k · 153 announced
  5. + Football (Soccer)Fair10 devs · median $10k · 16 announced
  6. + FaithFair11 devs · median $9.4k · 13 announced
  7. + Artificial IntelligenceFair92 devs · median $7.3k · 121 announced
  8. + GamblingFair28 devs · median $4.0k · 32 announced
  9. + DemonsFair16 devs · median $2.4k · 22 announced
  10. + Point & ClickFair162 devs · median $2.4k · 219 announced
  11. + LogicFair70 devs · median $1.5k · 74 announced
  12. + ZombiesFair29 devs · median $1.5k · 34 announced

All 173 pairs on the Life Sim page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Paleo Pines older $29.99 2,099 83% 63k $1.9M (exactly $1,888,470) Italic Pig
Amber Isle $24.99 1,770 82% 53k $1.3M (exactly $1,326,969) Ambertail Games
The Sapling · EA older $17.99 1,922 89% 58k $1.0M (exactly $1,037,303) Wessel Stoop
Dungeon Village older $8.99 829 88% 25k $224k (exactly $223,581) Kairosoft Co.,Ltd
Dynopunk older $14.99 456 93% 14k $205k (exactly $205,063) Tomato Fantasy Games
Dungeon Village 2 older $8.99 662 86% 20k $179k (exactly $178,541) Kairosoft Co.,Ltd
Isles of Yore · EA older $19.99 127 69% 3.8k $76k (exactly $76,162) MaverickMatryoshka
Dino Nest older $4.99 258 93% 7.7k $39k (exactly $38,623) Raptor Claw Games
Primeval $14.99 75 60% 2.3k $34k (exactly $33,728) Exhibyte
Survive or Thrive older $1.99 233 98% 7.0k $14k (exactly $13,910) Randumb Studios
Pocket Dinos · EA $7.99 7 100% 210 $1.7k (exactly $1,678) Diesel Laws
Spiritmorph $4.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Vorrento Studios
Travel with dinosaurs $59.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) BruceZhang
Fossil Bound · EA $6.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Fossil Studios

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.