Do I ship it?

GamesLooter ShooterLooter Shooter + Dark Fantasy

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Dark-Fantasy Looter Shooter?

Looter Shooter + Dark Fantasy

Only 12 developers shipped a Dark-Fantasy Looter Shooter in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, MEAT TRAIN, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 38 more are announced, ×4.8 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 8 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $840, ×0.6 the market's $1.5k for a 8 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $90. 38 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.8 per shipper, while revenue is up 440% on the market.

Deciding numbers: median 0.6 times the market baseline, revenue up 440% on the market, 38 announced, ×4.8 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Looter Shooter + Dark Fantasy
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 12
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $5.8k → $538 → $839 → $2.5k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Looter Shooter + Dark Fantasy: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 12
Bottom 30% $90 (exactly $90)
Median $839 (exactly $839)
Top 25% $3.5k (exactly $3,498)
Top 5% $31k (exactly $31,050)
Developers, 2 yr 12
Released games 38
Announced 38
Effort 8 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 440% on the market, supply 100% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 16%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Looter Shooter
effort 8 / 10 · low · online co-op and a loot economy on top of a shooter
Dark Fantasy
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
8 / 10 · online systems, open world
Systems
Looter Shooter
Price point
$4.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 9 games average 84% positive over 203 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $90, median $840, 1 in 4 over $3.4k, 1 in 20 over $31k.

3 in 10 developers made under $90. 38 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.8 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Looter Shooter with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + MechsFair13 devs · median $219k · 14 announced
  2. + Vehicular CombatFair11 devs · median $15k · 14 announced
  3. + IdlerFair16 devs · median $1.2k · 8 announced
  4. + 3D PlatformerLong shot23 devs · median $449 · 16 announced
  5. + Extraction ShooterPoor odds31 devs · median $71k · 73 announced
  6. + Online Co-OpPoor odds54 devs · median $25k · 136 announced
  7. + Co-opPoor odds56 devs · median $25k · 124 announced
  8. + Twin Stick ShooterPoor odds18 devs · median $16k · 44 announced
  9. + DystopianPoor odds14 devs · median $10k · 45 announced
  10. + Base BuildingPoor odds36 devs · median $9.1k · 74 announced
  11. + Character CustomizationPoor odds50 devs · median $9.0k · 151 announced
  12. + Inventory ManagementPoor odds27 devs · median $6.9k · 61 announced

All 90 pairs on the Looter Shooter page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
我在地球修仙有系统 older $14.99 959 70% 29k $431k (exactly $431,262) 红星
MEAT TRAIN · EA $15.00 69 91% 2.1k $31k (exactly $31,050) Kiwiforge, Timothy Vincent
Ravensword: Undaunted · EA older $7.99 57 49% 1.7k $14k (exactly $13,663) Trimatra Interactive
NightMare King $4.99 59 83% 1.8k $8.8k (exactly $8,832) Starmoon Cat
The secret pyramid VR older $7.99 24 87% 720 $5.8k (exactly $5,753) Linkup
Dune Rancher $2.99 39 76% 1.2k $3.5k (exactly $3,498) Jestercraft
冬眠(hibernation) older $6.99 16 100% 480 $3.4k (exactly $3,355) 玄机子
Valkyrie Champions older $3.99 26 69% 780 $3.1k (exactly $3,112) Valorware
Among Ass 2: Butt Warfare older $0.99 98 84% 2.9k $2.9k (exactly $2,911) Volens Nolens Games
Alchemy Survivors · EA $3.99 21 95% 630 $2.5k (exactly $2,514) Andrew Brown, Andrew Noel
Cat Survivors $4.99 8 87% 240 $1.2k (exactly $1,198) Ibon Studios
​Shattered Lands (破碎之地) $6.99 4 25% 120 $839 (exactly $839) VoidStudio
AWAKE $15.99 1 100% 30 $480 (exactly $480) REZA ALIDAD
North Sentinel Island $3.99 1 100% 30 $120 (exactly $120) MasterHanzi
Flooded Lands $2.99 1 0% 30 $90 (exactly $90) OpxGaming
Mega Load On $4.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Pavels Makarovs

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.