Do I ship it?

GamesLooter ShooterLooter Shooter + Cyberpunk

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Cyberpunk Looter Shooter?

Looter Shooter + Cyberpunk

Of 22 developers who shipped a Cyberpunk Looter Shooter in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 51 more are announced, ×5.1 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 8 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.6k, ×1.1 the market's $1.5k for a 8 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $180; 1 in 20 cleared $630k, ×422 the market median. Revenue is down 85% on the market; 51 games are announced against 10 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.1 times the market baseline, revenue down 85% on the market, 51 announced, ×5.1 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Looter Shooter + Cyberpunk
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 22
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $6.0k → $23k → $179 → $25k → $360 → $1.6k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Looter Shooter + Cyberpunk: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 22
Bottom 30% $179 (exactly $179)
Median $1.6k (exactly $1,647)
Top 25% $36k (exactly $35,976)
Top 5% $632k (exactly $632,067)
Developers, 2 yr 22
Released games 62
Announced 51
Effort 8 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 85% on the market, supply 15% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 26%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Looter Shooter
effort 8 / 10 · low · online co-op and a loot economy on top of a shooter
Cyberpunk
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
8 / 10 · online systems, open world
Systems
Looter Shooter; 7 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Action Roguelike, PvE
Price point
$9.99 typical · top 25% priced $24.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Stylized, Top-Down
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $24.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.

The top 10 games average 79% positive over 4,060 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $180, median $1.6k, 1 in 4 over $35k, 1 in 20 over $630k.

3 in 10 developers made under $180. 6 in 10 of the 17 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 51 games are announced against 10 developers who shipped in the last year, ×5.1 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Looter Shooter with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + MechsFair13 devs · median $219k · 14 announced
  2. + Vehicular CombatFair11 devs · median $15k · 14 announced
  3. + IdlerFair16 devs · median $1.2k · 8 announced
  4. + 3D PlatformerLong shot23 devs · median $449 · 16 announced
  5. + Extraction ShooterPoor odds31 devs · median $71k · 73 announced
  6. + Online Co-OpPoor odds54 devs · median $25k · 136 announced
  7. + Co-opPoor odds56 devs · median $25k · 124 announced
  8. + Twin Stick ShooterPoor odds18 devs · median $16k · 44 announced
  9. + DystopianPoor odds14 devs · median $10k · 45 announced
  10. + Base BuildingPoor odds36 devs · median $9.1k · 74 announced
  11. + Character CustomizationPoor odds50 devs · median $9.0k · 151 announced
  12. + Inventory ManagementPoor odds27 devs · median $6.9k · 61 announced

All 90 pairs on the Looter Shooter page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Necromunda: Hired Gun older $39.99 5,892 68% 177k $7.1M (exactly $7,068,632) Streum On Studio
Battle Shapers $24.99 984 80% 30k $738k (exactly $737,705) Metric Empire
TerraTech Legion $9.99 2,109 81% 63k $632k (exactly $632,067) Payload Studios
Black Ice · EA older $19.99 515 95% 15k $309k (exactly $308,846) Nonadecimal Creative, Super Duper Garre… (Nonadecimal Creative, Super Duper Garrett Cooper)
Mind older $17.99 372 69% 11k $201k (exactly $200,768) WHIRLLAXY LIMITED
CyberCorp $14.99 351 75% 11k $158k (exactly $157,845) Megame LLC
Dreadhunter · EA older $24.99 141 77% 4.2k $106k (exactly $105,708) Trickster Arts
Blood Running $16.99 198 68% 5.9k $101k (exactly $100,921) Dead Unicorn
UNYIELDER $24.99 117 62% 3.5k $88k (exactly $87,715) TrueWorld Studios
Cyber Avenger older $12.99 131 87% 3.9k $51k (exactly $51,051) Quacky Games
Shell Runner $14.99 80 57% 2.4k $36k (exactly $35,976) Reija
Ultra Mega Cats · EA $11.99 70 74% 2.1k $25k (exactly $25,179) Fallen Leaf, Unseen Silence, Black Drak… (Fallen Leaf, Unseen Silence, Black Drakkar Games)
Future Breach 64 $2.99 105 86% 3.2k $9.4k (exactly $9,418) Yurii Nikshych
Bail Force: Cyberpunk Bounty Hunters $9.99 21 90% 630 $6.3k (exactly $6,294) SeblaccSoft
Gunswitch · EA $7.99 25 64% 750 $6.0k (exactly $5,992) Wicked Tavern

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.