Games › Roguelite › Roguelite + Crime
Should I ship a Crime Roguelite?
Roguelite + Crime
Only 13 developers shipped a Crime Roguelite in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Karate Survivor, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 49 more are announced, ×4.9 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $1.0k, ×1.7 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $140; 1 in 20 cleared $440k, ×714 the market median. Revenue is down 90% on the market; 49 games are announced against 10 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $132 (exactly $132) |
|---|---|
| Median | $1.0k (exactly $1,048) |
| Top 25% | $72k (exactly $71,928) |
| Top 5% | $449k (exactly $448,651) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 13 |
| Released games | 29 |
| Announced | 49 |
| Effort | 6 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $4.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 90% on the market, supply 235% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 10%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
What it takes
- Effort
- 6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
- Systems
- Roguelite; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Roguelike, Arcade, Simulation
- Price point
- $4.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
- Art
- 5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Pixel Graphics, Anime
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.
The top 10 games average 85% positive over 4,177 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $140. 49 games are announced against 10 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.9 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Roguelite with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Real-TimeFair
- + ProgrammingFair
- + VampiresFair
- + TypingFair
- + Grand StrategyFair
- + IdlerFair
- + DogsFair
- + Walking SimulatorFair
- + Score AttackFair
- + Point & ClickFair
- + LogicFair
- + DwarvesPoor odds
Comparable games
CHANGE: A Homeless Survival Experience 2020 · $1.6M 
Karate Survivor 2024 · $449k 
Space Warlord Baby Trading Simulator 2026 · $308k 
The Swindle 2015 · $226k 
Rina's Undercover Train Operation 2026 · $120k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | CHANGE: A Homeless Survival Experience | older | $19.99 | 2,596 91% | 78k | $1.6M (exactly $1,556,821) | Delve Interactive |
| | Karate Survivor | $4.99 | 2,997 85% | 90k | $449k (exactly $448,651) | Alawar | |
| | Space Warlord Baby Trading Simulator | $19.99 | 513 91% | 15k | $308k (exactly $307,646) | Strange Scaffold | |
| | The Swindle | older | $14.99 | 502 64% | 15k | $226k (exactly $225,749) | Size Five Games |
| | Rina's Undercover Train Operation | $13.99 | 286 70% | 8.6k | $120k (exactly $120,034) | Metamorphose | |
 | The Fable: Manga Build Roguelike | $9.99 | 240 91% | 7.2k | $72k (exactly $71,928) | MONO ENTERTAINMENT | |
 | Trapper: Drug Dealing RPG | · EA older | $19.99 | 102 88% | 3.1k | $61k (exactly $61,169) | Lathon Gaming |
 | Mini Thief | older | $4.99 | 373 69% | 11k | $56k (exactly $55,838) | Stranga Games, TommahGames |
 | DROP - System Breach | older | $9.99 | 178 86% | 5.3k | $53k (exactly $53,347) | Etherfield Studio |
 | Hacky | $4.99 | 95 93% | 2.9k | $14k (exactly $14,222) | Cuddle Code | |
 | Blackjack Roulette | $2.99 | 30 83% | 900 | $2.7k (exactly $2,691) | DreamArk Lab | |
 | Only Cards | $4.99 | 7 85% | 210 | $1.0k (exactly $1,048) | Grim's Studio | |
 | Cloak And Coin | · EA | $4.99 | 6 100% | 180 | $898 (exactly $898) | netDOT |
 | Second Chance at a Billion | $10.00 | 2 50% | 60 | $600 (exactly $600) | ElderYew | |
 | Stellar Hustler | $4.39 | 1 100% | 30 | $132 (exactly $132) | Cenrellia Studios |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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