Do I ship it?

GamesLife SimLife Sim + Crime

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Crime Life Sim?

Life Sim + Crime

Of 44 developers who shipped a Crime Life Sim in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 115 more are announced, ×4.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $5.7k, ×9.0 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $720; 1 in 20 cleared $830k, ×1332 the market median. Revenue is down 85% on the market; 115 games are announced against 27 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 9.0 times the market baseline, revenue down 85% on the market, 115 announced, ×4.3 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Life Sim + Crime
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 44
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $89 → $101k → $10k → $175k → $688k → $5.8k → $18k (still earning) → $479 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Life Sim + Crime: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 44
Bottom 30% $718 (exactly $718)
Median $5.7k (exactly $5,662)
Top 25% $63k (exactly $62,958)
Top 5% $837k (exactly $836,553)
Developers, 2 yr 44
Released games 90
Announced 115
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $8.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 85% on the market, supply 60% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 13%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Life Sim
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Crime
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Life Sim; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Immersive Sim, Simulation, Action
Price point
$8.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with First-Person, Realistic, 3D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $8.99.

The top 10 games average 86% positive over 21,041 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $720, median $5.7k, 1 in 4 over $62k, 1 in 20 over $830k.

3 in 10 developers made under $720. 5 in 10 of the 17 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 115 games are announced against 27 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.3 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Life Sim with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + FMVStrong odds38 devs · median $54k · 21 announced
  2. + MinigamesStrong odds20 devs · median $11k · 19 announced
  3. + MusicStrong odds28 devs · median $9.2k · 20 announced
  4. + Job SimulatorFair144 devs · median $19k · 153 announced
  5. + Football (Soccer)Fair10 devs · median $10k · 16 announced
  6. + FaithFair11 devs · median $9.4k · 13 announced
  7. + Artificial IntelligenceFair92 devs · median $7.3k · 121 announced
  8. + GamblingFair28 devs · median $4.0k · 32 announced
  9. + DemonsFair16 devs · median $2.4k · 22 announced
  10. + Point & ClickFair162 devs · median $2.4k · 219 announced
  11. + LogicFair70 devs · median $1.5k · 74 announced
  12. + ZombiesFair29 devs · median $1.5k · 34 announced

All 173 pairs on the Life Sim page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Crime Scene Cleaner older $29.99 32,469 98% 974k $29M (exactly $29,212,359) President Studio
Cash Cleaner Simulator $19.99 7,334 92% 220k $4.4M (exactly $4,398,200) Mind Control Games
Crime Simulator $14.99 6,244 82% 187k $2.8M (exactly $2,807,927) CookieDev
CHANGE: A Homeless Survival Experience older $19.99 2,596 91% 78k $1.6M (exactly $1,556,821) Delve Interactive
Prison Escape Simulator: Dig Out $7.99 3,490 85% 105k $837k (exactly $836,553) Digital Melody
Used Cars Simulator · EA $19.99 1,147 79% 34k $688k (exactly $687,856) DreamWay Games
Fading Afternoon older $19.99 959 80% 29k $575k (exactly $575,112) yeo
Drug Lord Tycoon · EA older $9.99 1,671 83% 50k $501k (exactly $500,799) Duhndal
Saloon Simulator · EA $18.99 860 89% 26k $490k (exactly $489,942) Glivi Games S.A.
Anonymous Hacker Simulator older $19.99 741 85% 22k $444k (exactly $444,378) Sicarius
It's Only Money $24.99 473 78% 14k $355k (exactly $354,608) Usual Suspects Studios
MMA Life Simulator $16.99 435 80% 13k $222k (exactly $221,719) BNS7
On Your Tail $19.99 292 87% 8.8k $175k (exactly $175,112) Memorable Games
Laundering Simulator - Clean Cash and Laundry $12.99 399 81% 12k $155k (exactly $155,490) Ritual Interactive
Bum: Revenge · EA $9.99 367 62% 11k $110k (exactly $109,990) Patologgia Interactive

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.