Do I ship it?

GamesCreature CollectorCreature Collector + Turn-Based Strategy

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Creature Collector Turn-Based Strategy?

Creature Collector + Turn-Based Strategy

Of 81 developers who shipped a Creature Collector Turn-Based Strategy in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 160 more are announced, ×3.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.8k, ×2.9 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $300; 1 in 20 cleared $120k, ×204 the market median. Revenue is down 75% on the market; 160 games are announced against 48 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 2.9 times the market baseline, revenue down 75% on the market, 160 announced, ×3.3 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Creature Collector + Turn-Based Strategy
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 81
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $19k → $24k → $18k → $4.8k → $3.6k → $5.4k (still earning) → $0 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Creature Collector + Turn-Based Strategy: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 81
Bottom 30% $297 (exactly $297)
Median $1.8k (exactly $1,798)
Top 25% $16k (exactly $15,868)
Top 5% $128k (exactly $128,413)
Developers, 2 yr 81
Released games 178
Announced 160
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 75% on the market, supply 35% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 19%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Creature Collector
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Turn-Based Strategy
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Creature Collector, Turn-Based Strategy; 7 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Strategy, RPG, Turn-Based Combat
Price point
$9.99 typical · top 25% priced $15.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Cute, Colorful
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $15.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.

The top 10 games average 82% positive over 5,576 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $300, median $1.8k, 1 in 4 over $15k, 1 in 20 over $120k.

3 in 10 developers made under $300. 8 in 10 of the 40 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 160 games are announced against 48 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.3 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Creature Collector with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Perma DeathFair30 devs · median $5.3k · 33 announced
  2. + Bullet HellFair24 devs · median $3.4k · 33 announced
  3. + CapitalismFair38 devs · median $3.2k · 38 announced
  4. + LootFair51 devs · median $2.9k · 67 announced
  5. + IdlerFair248 devs · median $2.1k · 260 announced
  6. + IncrementalFair177 devs · median $1.9k · 191 announced
  7. + Action RoguelikeFair39 devs · median $1.8k · 54 announced
  8. + SpaceFair30 devs · median $1.5k · 39 announced
  9. + ZombiesFair14 devs · median $1.5k · 10 announced
  10. + ArcadeFair73 devs · median $629 · 85 announced
  11. + Co-opPoor odds31 devs · median $28k · 82 announced
  12. + Dating SimPoor odds14 devs · median $23k · 43 announced

All 133 pairs on the Creature Collector page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Digimon Story Cyber Sleuth: Complete Edition older $49.99 10,810 89% 324k $16M (exactly $16,211,757) h.a.n.d., Inc., Media.Vision Inc.
Shin Megami Tensei V: Vengeance older $59.99 7,858 91% 236k $14M (exactly $14,142,043) ATLUS
Shin Megami Tensei III Nocturne HD Remaster older $49.99 3,989 87% 120k $6.0M (exactly $5,982,303) ATLUS
Yarimono older $24.99 4,011 86% 120k $3.0M (exactly $3,007,047) にゅう工房
Decktamer $15.99 2,069 86% 62k $992k (exactly $992,499) Horizon Edge
Legend Creatures(传奇生物) older $4.99 3,780 89% 113k $566k (exactly $565,866) HideChara
Spirit Valley $14.99 1,203 89% 36k $541k (exactly $540,989) Otterside Games
Siralim 3 older $14.99 881 94% 26k $396k (exactly $396,186) Thylacine Studios
Dicefolk older $14.99 867 89% 26k $390k (exactly $389,890) LEAP Game Studios, Tiny Ghoul
Super Bullet Break older $19.99 434 81% 13k $260k (exactly $260,270) BeXide Inc.
Fantasy Idle Dungeon $9.99 736 70% 22k $221k (exactly $220,579) Leaves Games
Dokimon Quest $14.99 393 75% 12k $177k (exactly $176,732) Yanako RPGs
NEODUEL: Backpack Monsters $11.99 357 79% 11k $128k (exactly $128,413) dicehit, Rogue Duck Interactive
Montabi $19.99 123 95% 3.7k $74k (exactly $73,763) Mankibo
Water Margin Scrolls $9.99 244 40% 7.3k $73k (exactly $73,127) QingHe Games
Bonnie Bear Saves Frogtime $16.99 143 98% 4.3k $73k (exactly $72,887) Bonte Avond
Sculplings $10.99 179 99% 5.4k $59k (exactly $59,016) Conor Garity, Liam Kerrigan
Isle of Swaps $14.99 129 90% 3.9k $58k (exactly $58,011) Fuzz Force

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.