Do I ship it?

GamesCreature CollectorCreature Collector + Trading

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Trading Creature Collector?

Creature Collector + Trading

Only 14 developers shipped a paid Trading Creature Collector in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Tiny Aquarium: Social Fishkeeping, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 4 in 10 of the games here are free to play and sit outside these figures. 47 more are announced, ×5.2 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $3.6k, ×5.7 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $1.5k; 1 in 20 cleared $760k, ×1212 the market median. Revenue is up 45% on the market; 47 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 5.7 times the market baseline, revenue up 45% on the market, 47 announced, ×5.2 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Creature Collector + Trading
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 14
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $239 → $2.4k → $8.4k → $102k (still earning) → $2.1k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Creature Collector + Trading: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 14
Bottom 30% $1.5k (exactly $1,485)
Median $3.6k (exactly $3,598)
Top 25% $73k (exactly $72,887)
Top 5% $761k (exactly $760,834)
Developers, 2 yr 14
Released games 41
Announced 47
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $7.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 45% on the market, supply 80% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 44%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Creature Collector
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Trading
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Creature Collector, Trading; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, Choices Matter, Collectathon
Price point
$7.99 typical · top 25% priced $16.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Cute, Colorful
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $16.99 or above; the middle game at $7.99.

The top 10 games average 90% positive over 4,446 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $1.5k, median $3.6k, 1 in 4 over $72k, 1 in 20 over $760k.

3 in 10 developers made under $1.5k. 9 in 10 of the 8 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 47 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year, ×5.2 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Creature Collector with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Perma DeathFair30 devs · median $5.3k · 33 announced
  2. + Bullet HellFair24 devs · median $3.4k · 33 announced
  3. + CapitalismFair38 devs · median $3.2k · 38 announced
  4. + LootFair51 devs · median $2.9k · 67 announced
  5. + IdlerFair248 devs · median $2.1k · 260 announced
  6. + IncrementalFair177 devs · median $1.9k · 191 announced
  7. + Action RoguelikeFair39 devs · median $1.8k · 54 announced
  8. + SpaceFair30 devs · median $1.5k · 39 announced
  9. + ZombiesFair14 devs · median $1.5k · 10 announced
  10. + ArcadeFair73 devs · median $629 · 85 announced
  11. + Co-opPoor odds31 devs · median $28k · 82 announced
  12. + Dating SimPoor odds14 devs · median $23k · 43 announced

All 133 pairs on the Creature Collector page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Tiny Aquarium: Social Fishkeeping $7.49 3,386 95% 102k $761k (exactly $760,834) Lunheim Studios
Lugh World · EA $14.99 458 68% 14k $206k (exactly $205,963) Lughsoft
GeckoShop $9.99 342 66% 10k $102k (exactly $102,497) Reptoid
Bonnie Bear Saves Frogtime $16.99 143 98% 4.3k $73k (exactly $72,887) Bonte Avond
NTR LIFE $3.99 70 74% 2.1k $8.4k (exactly $8,379) Jpegsama
Rare Rabbits - Snuggle Haven · EA $19.99 10 100% 300 $6.0k (exactly $5,997) THOMIC
Floating Islands of Nucifera · EA older $14.99 9 100% 270 $4.0k (exactly $4,047) Odooh Games
The EverFloating Island $19.99 6 33% 180 $3.6k (exactly $3,598) GU GAMES
岛与工厂 Island And Factories older $9.99 10 30% 300 $3.0k (exactly $2,997) 攀爬者工作室
Aqua Pals · EA older $4.99 20 85% 600 $3.0k (exactly $2,994) Matthew B, Linda F
Soulreign $7.99 12 83% 360 $2.9k (exactly $2,876) Berraco
Monster Shop Simulator $4.99 14 64% 420 $2.1k (exactly $2,096) For Fun Games
Onyx · EA $9.90 5 100% 150 $1.5k (exactly $1,485) Dark Matter

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.