Do I ship it?

GamesCreature CollectorCreature Collector + Post-apocalyptic

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Post-apocalyptic Creature Collector?

Creature Collector + Post-apocalyptic

Only 18 developers shipped a Post-apocalyptic Creature Collector in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, CleanFall, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 41 more are announced, ×5.1 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $720, ×1.1 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $450; 1 in 20 cleared $290k, ×470 the market median. Revenue is up 10% on the market; 41 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.1 times the market baseline, revenue up 10% on the market, 41 announced, ×5.1 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Creature Collector + Post-apocalyptic
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 18
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $718 → $18k → $3.2k → $720 → $628 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Creature Collector + Post-apocalyptic: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 18
Bottom 30% $449 (exactly $449)
Median $718 (exactly $718)
Top 25% $14k (exactly $14,142)
Top 5% $295k (exactly $295,052)
Developers, 2 yr 18
Released games 45
Announced 41
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 10% on the market, supply 20% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 13%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Creature Collector
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Post-apocalyptic
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Creature Collector; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Exploration, Simulation, Adventure
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Atmospheric, Cute
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 93% positive over 1,081 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $450, median $720, 1 in 4 over $14k, 1 in 20 over $290k.

3 in 10 developers made under $450. 8 in 10 of the 11 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 41 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year, ×5.1 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Creature Collector with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Perma DeathFair30 devs · median $5.3k · 33 announced
  2. + Bullet HellFair24 devs · median $3.4k · 33 announced
  3. + CapitalismFair38 devs · median $3.2k · 38 announced
  4. + LootFair51 devs · median $2.9k · 67 announced
  5. + IdlerFair248 devs · median $2.1k · 260 announced
  6. + IncrementalFair177 devs · median $1.9k · 191 announced
  7. + Action RoguelikeFair39 devs · median $1.8k · 54 announced
  8. + SpaceFair30 devs · median $1.5k · 39 announced
  9. + ZombiesFair14 devs · median $1.5k · 10 announced
  10. + ArcadeFair73 devs · median $629 · 85 announced
  11. + Co-opPoor odds31 devs · median $28k · 82 announced
  12. + Dating SimPoor odds14 devs · median $23k · 43 announced

All 133 pairs on the Creature Collector page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Shin Megami Tensei V: Vengeance older $59.99 7,858 91% 236k $14M (exactly $14,142,043) ATLUS
Shin Megami Tensei III Nocturne HD Remaster older $49.99 3,989 87% 120k $6.0M (exactly $5,982,303) ATLUS
Hunt and Snare · EA older $29.99 720 80% 22k $648k (exactly $647,784) Ruffleneck, Hare, Drathek
Atrio: The Dark Wild older $19.99 563 78% 17k $338k (exactly $337,631) Isto Inc.
CleanFall · EA $19.99 492 92% 15k $295k (exactly $295,052) Humanyoyo
Penko Park older $13.99 602 98% 18k $253k (exactly $252,659) Ghostbutter
Mushroom Nook $4.99 392 98% 12k $59k (exactly $58,682) HyperstasisGaming
Chair F*cking Simulator older $1.99 774 95% 23k $46k (exactly $46,208) SoSorrySoft
Para Ark older $6.99 148 91% 4.4k $31k (exactly $31,036) ST Hot Dog King
World for Two older $13.99 58 77% 1.7k $24k (exactly $24,343) Seventh rank
Xenowars $19.99 31 83% 930 $19k (exactly $18,591) Strategeion Studios
Gas Giant Voyage $7.99 60 91% 1.8k $14k (exactly $14,382) 1023 Technology
Post Apocalypse Microbe Lab $7.99 59 94% 1.8k $14k (exactly $14,142) SKIPMORE, URARA-WORKS
License To Clone · EA $17.99 6 83% 180 $3.2k (exactly $3,238) Jam Donut Games
Fishing The Sky $3.99 8 37% 240 $958 (exactly $958) MewCoco
Find Kitties: Zombie Hunter $1.20 20 95% 600 $720 (exactly $720) Sons of Welder, FM Simple Games Studio
Monster Manor $3.99 6 50% 180 $718 (exactly $718) Soda Duck
Chicken Chicken · EA $2.99 7 85% 210 $628 (exactly $628) Sobaka Studio

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.