Do I ship it?

GamesCreature CollectorCreature Collector + Physics

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Physics Creature Collector?

Creature Collector + Physics

Of 37 developers who shipped a Physics Creature Collector in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 55 more are announced, ×2.5 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $720, ×1.1 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $360; 1 in 20 cleared $870k, ×1389 the market median. Revenue is flat on the market; 55 games are announced against 22 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.1 times the market baseline, revenue flat on the market, 55 announced, ×2.5 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Creature Collector + Physics
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 37
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $11k → $3.6k → $13k → $653 → $538 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Creature Collector + Physics: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 37
Bottom 30% $359 (exactly $359)
Median $718 (exactly $718)
Top 25% $17k (exactly $16,617)
Top 5% $872k (exactly $872,427)
Developers, 2 yr 37
Released games 78
Announced 55
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue flat on the market, supply 45% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 10%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Creature Collector
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Physics
effort 5 / 10 · low · emergent simulation bugs need hands-on tuning

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Creature Collector, Physics; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Simulation, Sandbox, Idler
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Colorful, Cute, 2D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 96% positive over 13,242 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $360, median $720, 1 in 4 over $16k, 1 in 20 over $870k.

3 in 10 developers made under $360. 7 in 10 of the 19 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 55 games are announced against 22 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.5 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Creature Collector with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Perma DeathFair30 devs · median $5.3k · 33 announced
  2. + Bullet HellFair24 devs · median $3.4k · 33 announced
  3. + CapitalismFair38 devs · median $3.2k · 38 announced
  4. + LootFair51 devs · median $2.9k · 67 announced
  5. + IdlerFair248 devs · median $2.1k · 260 announced
  6. + IncrementalFair177 devs · median $1.9k · 191 announced
  7. + Action RoguelikeFair39 devs · median $1.8k · 54 announced
  8. + SpaceFair30 devs · median $1.5k · 39 announced
  9. + ZombiesFair14 devs · median $1.5k · 10 announced
  10. + ArcadeFair73 devs · median $629 · 85 announced
  11. + Co-opPoor odds31 devs · median $28k · 82 announced
  12. + Dating SimPoor odds14 devs · median $23k · 43 announced

All 133 pairs on the Creature Collector page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Bugsnax older $24.99 8,673 97% 260k $6.5M (exactly $6,502,148) Young Horses
Berry Bury Berry $7.99 8,619 98% 259k $2.1M (exactly $2,065,974) Get(Color) Games
Horsey Game $9.99 2,911 97% 87k $872k (exactly $872,427) Captain Games
CleanFall · EA $19.99 492 92% 15k $295k (exactly $295,052) Humanyoyo
FISHERY · EA older $19.99 375 83% 11k $225k (exactly $224,887) Lilou Studio
Creature Crafter older $7.99 745 86% 22k $179k (exactly $178,576) Daniel Lochner
Space Accident VR $16.99 231 82% 6.9k $118k (exactly $117,741) VR-WRG
Monster Mop Up $14.99 189 57% 5.7k $85k (exactly $84,993) Terahard Ltd
The Bibites: Digital Life · EA $9.99 218 96% 6.5k $65k (exactly $65,335) Omnia Studios
Claw Machine Sim older $6.99 238 94% 7.1k $50k (exactly $49,909) Unechte Sachen
The Bench $14.99 88 92% 2.6k $40k (exactly $39,574) Voxel Studios
Idle Gumball Machine $4.99 255 90% 7.7k $38k (exactly $38,174) Antique Gear Games
Desktop Fishes $5.99 128 82% 3.8k $23k (exactly $23,002) Daniel Santalla
Push Push $4.99 111 97% 3.3k $17k (exactly $16,617) 1ceAgain

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.