Do I ship it?

GamesCreature CollectorCreature Collector + Multiple Endings

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Multiple Endings Creature Collector?

Creature Collector + Multiple Endings

Of 42 developers who shipped a Multiple Endings Creature Collector in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 58 more are announced, ×2.6 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.8k, ×2.9 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $360; 1 in 20 cleared $100k, ×162 the market median. Revenue is down 10% on the market; 58 games are announced against 22 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 2.9 times the market baseline, revenue down 10% on the market, 58 announced, ×2.6 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Creature Collector + Multiple Endings
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 42
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $3.4k → $18k → $19k → $1.2k → $718 → $2.5k (still earning) → $120 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Creature Collector + Multiple Endings: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 42
Bottom 30% $359 (exactly $359)
Median $1.8k (exactly $1,798)
Top 25% $8.4k (exactly $8,379)
Top 5% $102k (exactly $101,720)
Developers, 2 yr 42
Released games 76
Announced 58
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $7.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 10% on the market, supply 10% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 8%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Creature Collector
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Multiple Endings
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Creature Collector, Multiple Endings; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, RPG, Simulation
Price point
$7.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Pixel Graphics, Story Rich
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $7.99.

The top 10 games average 84% positive over 3,246 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $360, median $1.8k, 1 in 4 over $8.3k, 1 in 20 over $100k.

3 in 10 developers made under $360. 8 in 10 of the 23 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 58 games are announced against 22 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.6 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Creature Collector with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Perma DeathFair30 devs · median $5.3k · 33 announced
  2. + Bullet HellFair24 devs · median $3.4k · 33 announced
  3. + CapitalismFair38 devs · median $3.2k · 38 announced
  4. + LootFair51 devs · median $2.9k · 67 announced
  5. + IdlerFair248 devs · median $2.1k · 260 announced
  6. + IncrementalFair177 devs · median $1.9k · 191 announced
  7. + Action RoguelikeFair39 devs · median $1.8k · 54 announced
  8. + SpaceFair30 devs · median $1.5k · 39 announced
  9. + ZombiesFair14 devs · median $1.5k · 10 announced
  10. + ArcadeFair73 devs · median $629 · 85 announced
  11. + Co-opPoor odds31 devs · median $28k · 82 announced
  12. + Dating SimPoor odds14 devs · median $23k · 43 announced

All 133 pairs on the Creature Collector page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Shin Megami Tensei V: Vengeance older $59.99 7,858 91% 236k $14M (exactly $14,142,043) ATLUS
Bugsnax older $24.99 8,673 97% 260k $6.5M (exactly $6,502,148) Young Horses
Shin Megami Tensei III Nocturne HD Remaster older $49.99 3,989 87% 120k $6.0M (exactly $5,982,303) ATLUS
LumenTale: Memories of Trey $24.99 1,130 70% 34k $847k (exactly $847,161) Beehive Studios
My Lovely Wife older $14.99 685 74% 21k $308k (exactly $308,044) GameChanger Studio, Toge Productions
Athenian Rhapsody older $14.99 320 91% 9.6k $144k (exactly $143,904) Nico Papalia
Monster Crown: Sin Eater $24.99 170 85% 5.1k $127k (exactly $127,449) Studio Aurum
Chicken Hill $2.99 1,134 99% 34k $102k (exactly $101,720) 梗立游戏
汉尘:腐草为萤 · EA $7.99 305 71% 9.2k $73k (exactly $73,108) 兰廷科技 Lanting Technology Co., Ltd.
Dino Hazard: Chronos Blackout older $24.99 78 88% 2.3k $58k (exactly $58,477) Bone Collectors
Novice Dungeon Master · EA $11.99 151 88% 4.5k $54k (exactly $54,315) LazyCnD
Sea Chronicles $9.99 154 90% 4.6k $46k (exactly $46,154) Madi Abdykarimov
Broken Alliance · EA $14.99 42 80% 1.3k $19k (exactly $18,887) Placeholder Gameworks
Xenowars $19.99 31 83% 930 $19k (exactly $18,591) Strategeion Studios
Eternal Sword Tomb · EA $8.99 68 77% 2.0k $18k (exactly $18,340) 阿郎
宠物街金鱼姬 Pet Street Story $8.99 61 98% 1.8k $16k (exactly $16,452) 小鲤应援会

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.