Do I ship it?

GamesCreature CollectorCreature Collector + Historical

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Historical Creature Collector?

Creature Collector + Historical

Only 12 developers shipped a Historical Creature Collector in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Halcyon Days at Taoyuan, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 15 more are announced, ×3.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $2.2k, ×3.6 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $150; 1 in 20 cleared $390k, ×624 the market median. Revenue is down 50% on the market; 15 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 3.6 times the market baseline, revenue down 50% on the market, 15 announced, ×3.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Creature Collector + Historical
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 12
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $20k → $31k → $8.7k → $300
Outcomes for Creature Collector + Historical: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 12
Bottom 30% $150 (exactly $150)
Median $2.2k (exactly $2,246)
Top 25% $60k (exactly $59,676)
Top 5% $392k (exactly $391,713)
Developers, 2 yr 12
Released games 27
Announced 15
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 50% on the market, supply 30% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 15%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Creature Collector
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Historical
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Creature Collector
Price point
$4.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 85% positive over 2,088 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $150, median $2.2k, 1 in 4 over $59k, 1 in 20 over $390k.

3 in 10 developers made under $150. 7 in 10 of the 9 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 15 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.0 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Creature Collector with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Perma DeathFair30 devs · median $5.3k · 33 announced
  2. + Bullet HellFair24 devs · median $3.4k · 33 announced
  3. + CapitalismFair38 devs · median $3.2k · 38 announced
  4. + LootFair51 devs · median $2.9k · 67 announced
  5. + IdlerFair248 devs · median $2.1k · 260 announced
  6. + IncrementalFair177 devs · median $1.9k · 191 announced
  7. + Action RoguelikeFair39 devs · median $1.8k · 54 announced
  8. + SpaceFair30 devs · median $1.5k · 39 announced
  9. + ZombiesFair14 devs · median $1.5k · 10 announced
  10. + ArcadeFair73 devs · median $629 · 85 announced
  11. + Co-opPoor odds31 devs · median $28k · 82 announced
  12. + Dating SimPoor odds14 devs · median $23k · 43 announced

All 133 pairs on the Creature Collector page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
A Tower Full of Cats older $5.99 2,304 99% 69k $414k (exactly $414,029) Devcats
Halcyon Days at Taoyuan $11.99 1,089 89% 33k $392k (exactly $391,713) BotanX
汉尘:腐草为萤 · EA $7.99 305 71% 9.2k $73k (exactly $73,108) 兰廷科技 Lanting Technology Co., Ltd.
ArkCraft: The Rebirth of the World $10.99 181 71% 5.4k $60k (exactly $59,676) ZD Yazilim
Meow Palace: Forbidden City · EA $5.99 247 90% 7.4k $44k (exactly $44,386) 宫喵家族
Hidden Cats in Tokyo $5.99 172 92% 5.2k $31k (exactly $30,908) Nukearts Studio
Hidden Cats in Rome older $3.99 176 98% 5.3k $21k (exactly $21,067) Nukearts Studio
Hidden Cats in Berlin older $3.99 163 99% 4.9k $20k (exactly $19,511) Nukearts Studio
My Friend Stalin older $0.99 452 90% 14k $13k (exactly $13,424) Boom Team
100 hidden cups older $0.99 431 42% 13k $13k (exactly $12,801) Anatoliy Loginovskikh, Igor Shalimov
Hidden Cats in Rio de Janeiro $3.99 73 95% 2.2k $8.7k (exactly $8,738) Nukearts Studio
Egyptian Punishment $4.99 15 86% 450 $2.2k (exactly $2,246) TheBigO Games
Dino Quest $4.99 4 75% 120 $599 (exactly $599) TPG Tecnologia
Strange Hunting Grounds · EA $9.99 1 100% 30 $300 (exactly $300) GaniTani
Prince Arthur Monsters of Albion $4.99 1 0% 30 $150 (exactly $150) Jason Bowen, Oliver Chappell

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.