Do I ship it?

GamesCreature CollectorCreature Collector + Futuristic

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Futuristic Creature Collector?

Creature Collector + Futuristic

Of 24 developers who shipped a Futuristic Creature Collector in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 39 more are announced, ×3.5 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $540, ×0.9 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $300; 1 in 20 cleared $140k, ×225 the market median. Revenue is up 35% on the market; 39 games are announced against 11 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 0.9 times the market baseline, revenue up 35% on the market, 39 announced, ×3.5 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Creature Collector + Futuristic
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 24
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $4.0k → $31k → $1.1k → $386 → $5.9k → $4.8k → $599 (still earning) → $360 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Creature Collector + Futuristic: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 24
Bottom 30% $299 (exactly $299)
Median $538 (exactly $538)
Top 25% $8.8k (exactly $8,805)
Top 5% $141k (exactly $141,206)
Developers, 2 yr 24
Released games 65
Announced 39
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 35% on the market, supply 15% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 12%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Creature Collector
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Futuristic
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Creature Collector; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, Exploration, Action
Price point
$5.99 typical · top 25% priced $16.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Pixel Graphics, Retro
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $16.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.

The top 10 games average 78% positive over 2,226 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $300, median $540, 1 in 4 over $8.8k, 1 in 20 over $140k.

3 in 10 developers made under $300. 8 in 10 of the 15 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 39 games are announced against 11 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.5 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Creature Collector with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Perma DeathFair30 devs · median $5.3k · 33 announced
  2. + Bullet HellFair24 devs · median $3.4k · 33 announced
  3. + CapitalismFair38 devs · median $3.2k · 38 announced
  4. + LootFair51 devs · median $2.9k · 67 announced
  5. + IdlerFair248 devs · median $2.1k · 260 announced
  6. + IncrementalFair177 devs · median $1.9k · 191 announced
  7. + Action RoguelikeFair39 devs · median $1.8k · 54 announced
  8. + SpaceFair30 devs · median $1.5k · 39 announced
  9. + ZombiesFair14 devs · median $1.5k · 10 announced
  10. + ArcadeFair73 devs · median $629 · 85 announced
  11. + Co-opPoor odds31 devs · median $28k · 82 announced
  12. + Dating SimPoor odds14 devs · median $23k · 43 announced

All 133 pairs on the Creature Collector page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Soul Hackers 2 older $59.99 2,300 65% 69k $4.1M (exactly $4,139,310) ATLUS
LumenTale: Memories of Trey $24.99 1,130 70% 34k $847k (exactly $847,161) Beehive Studios
Anode Heart older $17.99 438 90% 13k $236k (exactly $236,389) Stove Powered Games
Beyond Galaxyland $14.99 314 85% 9.4k $141k (exactly $141,206) Sam Enright
Space Accident VR $16.99 231 82% 6.9k $118k (exactly $117,741) VR-WRG
Anode Heart: Layer Null $15.99 227 91% 6.8k $109k (exactly $108,892) Stove Powered Games
Athos · EA older $24.99 95 58% 2.9k $71k (exactly $71,222) Neojac Entertainment Inc.
Dofamine VR $9.99 173 82% 5.2k $52k (exactly $51,848) VR-WRG
Ghost Signal: A Stellaris Game older $9.99 104 93% 3.1k $31k (exactly $31,169) Windswept Interactive, Fast Travel Games
Para Ark older $6.99 148 91% 4.4k $31k (exactly $31,036) ST Hot Dog King
Gas Giant Voyage $7.99 60 91% 1.8k $14k (exactly $14,382) 1023 Technology
Dystopian Pet Simulator · EA $5.99 49 93% 1.5k $8.8k (exactly $8,805) dinca.team
Journey of Resurgence · EA $17.99 11 81% 330 $5.9k (exactly $5,937) Stellar Realms Network
TurnBreak · EA $7.99 20 90% 600 $4.8k (exactly $4,794) Dapper Dog Digital
Attack On Ghosts · EA $1.99 11 100% 330 $657 (exactly $657) OGB Crew

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.