Do I ship it?

GamesCreature CollectorCreature Collector + Dragons

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Dragon Creature Collector?

Creature Collector + Dragons

Of 25 developers who shipped a Dragon Creature Collector in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 46 more are announced, ×3.8 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.8k, ×2.9 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $510; 1 in 20 cleared $230k, ×374 the market median. Revenue is up 765% on the market; 46 games are announced against 12 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 2.9 times the market baseline, revenue up 765% on the market, 46 announced, ×3.8 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Creature Collector + Dragons
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 25
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $48k → $12k → $20k → $1.8k → $47k → $17k (still earning) → $1.2k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Creature Collector + Dragons: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 25
Bottom 30% $505 (exactly $505)
Median $1.8k (exactly $1,796)
Top 25% $21k (exactly $21,136)
Top 5% $235k (exactly $234,989)
Developers, 2 yr 25
Released games 67
Announced 46
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 765% on the market, supply 15% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 21%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Creature Collector
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Dragons
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Creature Collector; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry RPG, Simulation, Strategy
Price point
$5.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
3 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Cute, Anime, 2D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.

The top 10 games average 78% positive over 7,214 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $510, median $1.8k, 1 in 4 over $21k, 1 in 20 over $230k.

3 in 10 developers made under $510. 9 in 10 of the 15 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 46 games are announced against 12 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.8 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Creature Collector with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Perma DeathFair30 devs · median $5.3k · 33 announced
  2. + Bullet HellFair24 devs · median $3.4k · 33 announced
  3. + CapitalismFair38 devs · median $3.2k · 38 announced
  4. + LootFair51 devs · median $2.9k · 67 announced
  5. + IdlerFair248 devs · median $2.1k · 260 announced
  6. + IncrementalFair177 devs · median $1.9k · 191 announced
  7. + Action RoguelikeFair39 devs · median $1.8k · 54 announced
  8. + SpaceFair30 devs · median $1.5k · 39 announced
  9. + ZombiesFair14 devs · median $1.5k · 10 announced
  10. + ArcadeFair73 devs · median $629 · 85 announced
  11. + Co-opPoor odds31 devs · median $28k · 82 announced
  12. + Dating SimPoor odds14 devs · median $23k · 43 announced

All 133 pairs on the Creature Collector page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
WILD HEARTS™ older $69.99 10,626 48% 319k $22M (exactly $22,311,412) KOEI TECMO GAMES CO., LTD.
Monster Hunter Stories 2: Wings of Ruin older $39.99 11,845 82% 355k $14M (exactly $14,210,446) CAPCOM Co., Ltd.
Monster Hunter Stories 3: Twisted Reflection $69.99 5,605 77% 168k $12M (exactly $11,768,818) CAPCOM Co., Ltd.
Monster Hunter Stories older $29.99 1,615 90% 48k $1.5M (exactly $1,453,016) CAPCOM Co., Ltd.
DRAGON QUEST MONSTERS: The Dark Prince older $39.99 1,158 71% 35k $1.4M (exactly $1,389,253) Square Enix
Mamon King $12.99 603 90% 18k $235k (exactly $234,989) LiTMUS Co., Ltd.
moon: Remix RPG Adventure older $18.99 359 94% 11k $205k (exactly $204,522) Onion Games
XiuzhenWorld older $12.99 436 75% 13k $170k (exactly $169,909) Noforgetit
Dragon Song Tavern: Cozy & Adventurous $19.90 274 71% 8.2k $164k (exactly $163,578) Etherous Games Limited
Start an egg · EA older $15.99 332 77% 10k $159k (exactly $159,260) Ting Game
Batomon Showdown $14.99 327 87% 9.8k $147k (exactly $147,052) berrymint
Spirit Animal Survival $19.99 96 62% 2.9k $58k (exactly $57,571) TRUEFX GAMES
Bean Beasts $13.99 113 89% 3.4k $47k (exactly $47,426) Anxious Noob
Pet Lands $14.99 47 46% 1.4k $21k (exactly $21,136) Tbjbu2, Adria Martinez Exposito
Broken Alliance · EA $14.99 42 80% 1.3k $19k (exactly $18,887) Placeholder Gameworks
Familiar Findings $5.99 94 96% 2.8k $17k (exactly $16,892) Cliffa Games
WarOfGods 2 $29.99 13 76% 390 $12k (exactly $11,696) Mensa World

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.