Do I ship it?

GamesCreature CollectorCreature Collector + Dinosaurs

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Dinosaur Creature Collector?

Creature Collector + Dinosaurs

Only 19 developers shipped a Dinosaur Creature Collector in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Dinotica, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 28 more are announced, ×2.5 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.7k, ×2.7 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $120; 1 in 20 cleared $400k, ×641 the market median. Revenue is down 45% on the market; 28 games are announced against 11 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 2.7 times the market baseline, revenue down 45% on the market, 28 announced, ×2.5 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Creature Collector + Dinosaurs
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 19
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $12k → $599 → $1.9k → $599 (still earning) → $2.6k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Creature Collector + Dinosaurs: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 19
Bottom 30% $119 (exactly $119)
Median $1.7k (exactly $1,678)
Top 25% $7.6k (exactly $7,635)
Top 5% $403k (exactly $402,616)
Developers, 2 yr 19
Released games 54
Announced 28
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 45% on the market, supply 40% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 13%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Creature Collector
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Dinosaurs
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Creature Collector; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Crafting, Action, Action-Adventure
Price point
$5.99 typical · top 25% priced $24.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Cute
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $24.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.

The top 10 games average 84% positive over 1,120 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $120, median $1.7k, 1 in 4 over $7.6k, 1 in 20 over $400k.

3 in 10 developers made under $120. 9 in 10 of the 9 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 28 games are announced against 11 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.5 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Creature Collector with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Perma DeathFair30 devs · median $5.3k · 33 announced
  2. + Bullet HellFair24 devs · median $3.4k · 33 announced
  3. + CapitalismFair38 devs · median $3.2k · 38 announced
  4. + LootFair51 devs · median $2.9k · 67 announced
  5. + IdlerFair248 devs · median $2.1k · 260 announced
  6. + IncrementalFair177 devs · median $1.9k · 191 announced
  7. + Action RoguelikeFair39 devs · median $1.8k · 54 announced
  8. + SpaceFair30 devs · median $1.5k · 39 announced
  9. + ZombiesFair14 devs · median $1.5k · 10 announced
  10. + ArcadeFair73 devs · median $629 · 85 announced
  11. + Co-opPoor odds31 devs · median $28k · 82 announced
  12. + Dating SimPoor odds14 devs · median $23k · 43 announced

All 133 pairs on the Creature Collector page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Let's Build a Zoo older $19.99 3,722 89% 112k $2.2M (exactly $2,232,083) Springloaded
Paleo Pines older $29.99 2,099 83% 63k $1.9M (exactly $1,888,470) Italic Pig
Birthdays the Beginning older $19.99 901 63% 27k $540k (exactly $540,330) Arc System Works, TOYBOX Inc.
Dinotica $17.99 746 86% 22k $403k (exactly $402,616) XA Studio
Evolution Board Game older $14.99 348 81% 10k $156k (exactly $156,496) North Star Digital Studios
Fossil Corner older $9.99 330 98% 9.9k $99k (exactly $98,901) Brady Soglin
Athos · EA older $24.99 95 58% 2.9k $71k (exactly $71,222) Neojac Entertainment Inc.
Spirit Animal Survival $19.99 96 62% 2.9k $58k (exactly $57,571) TRUEFX GAMES
Bean Beasts $13.99 113 89% 3.4k $47k (exactly $47,426) Anxious Noob
Beastie Bay DX older $8.99 98 70% 2.9k $26k (exactly $26,431) Kairosoft Co.,Ltd
Abyss: New Dawn · EA $24.99 19 63% 570 $14k (exactly $14,244) Aloya Productions
Dino Market $4.99 51 94% 1.5k $7.6k (exactly $7,635) Fuz Games
Never Ending Beyond $9.99 20 80% 600 $6.0k (exactly $5,994) One More Dream Studios
Dino Tower Arena $3.99 44 100% 1.3k $5.3k (exactly $5,267) OsKkarz_
Reptilarium $7.99 11 72% 330 $2.6k (exactly $2,637) PiqFocus Interactive
Dinosaurium $7.99 11 72% 330 $2.6k (exactly $2,637) PiqFocus Interactive
Sacred World $6.99 9 66% 270 $1.9k (exactly $1,887) 超巨大战喵

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.