Do I ship it?

GamesLootLoot + Cooking

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Loot Cooking game?

Loot + Cooking

Only 10 developers shipped a Loot Cooking game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Storage Looter, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 25 more are announced, ×4.2 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.3k, ×2.1 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $1.1k; 1 in 20 cleared $4.7k, ×7.6 the market median. Revenue is up 150% on the market; 25 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 2.1 times the market baseline, revenue up 150% on the market, 25 announced, ×4.2 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Loot + Cooking
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 10

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Loot + Cooking: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 10
Bottom 30% $1.0k (exactly $1,048)
Median $1.3k (exactly $1,347)
Top 25% $1.8k (exactly $1,799)
Top 5% $4.8k (exactly $4,794)
Developers, 2 yr 10
Released games 30
Announced 25
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $6.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 150% on the market, supply 50% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 17%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Loot
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Cooking
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Loot, Cooking
Price point
$6.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 8 games average 78% positive over 70 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $1.1k, median $1.3k, 1 in 4 over $1.7k, 1 in 20 over $4.7k.

3 in 10 developers made under $1.1k. All of the 6 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 25 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.2 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Loot with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Artificial IntelligenceStrong odds28 devs · median $19k · 22 announced
  2. + Local Co-OpStrong odds22 devs · median $7.3k · 21 announced
  3. + SteampunkStrong odds7 devs · median $2.2k · 10 announced
  4. + CapitalismFair36 devs · median $14k · 52 announced
  5. + Turn-Based StrategyFair86 devs · median $6.3k · 97 announced
  6. + JRPGFair34 devs · median $5.5k · 41 announced
  7. + EconomyFair74 devs · median $4.6k · 114 announced
  8. + IdlerFair181 devs · median $4.5k · 256 announced
  9. + CatsFair17 devs · median $3.4k · 24 announced
  10. + IncrementalFair145 devs · median $2.9k · 236 announced
  11. + Creature CollectorFair51 devs · median $2.9k · 67 announced
  12. + CollectathonFair90 devs · median $1.9k · 95 announced

All 159 pairs on the Loot page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Kitaria Fables older $19.99 1,253 73% 38k $751k (exactly $751,424) Twin Hearts, Secret Level Studios
Denizen · EA older $19.99 886 72% 27k $531k (exactly $531,334) Departure Interactive
Hold Your Own · EA older $14.99 532 65% 16k $239k (exactly $239,240) DistrictWare inc.
Badiya: Desert Survival · EA older $19.99 284 50% 8.5k $170k (exactly $170,315) Semaphore
Grindstone older $19.99 244 93% 7.3k $146k (exactly $146,327) Capybara Games
Territory · EA older $14.99 57 64% 1.7k $26k (exactly $25,633) Threat Vector
Fishton: A Town to Remember older $14.99 23 86% 690 $10k (exactly $10,343) Queenfish Games
Surviving West older $9.99 29 58% 870 $8.7k (exactly $8,691) Nemo Studios
Storage Looter $7.99 20 100% 600 $4.8k (exactly $4,794) Tekila
Surviving Skeleton Island $9.99 14 64% 420 $4.2k (exactly $4,196) Bert Games
HANGRY™ · EA $14.99 4 25% 120 $1.8k (exactly $1,799) Game Pill
RuneClick $6.99 8 100% 240 $1.7k (exactly $1,678) Vosk Games
10-Man Idle $4.99 9 77% 270 $1.3k (exactly $1,347) JLGames
The Hunter's Path $9.99 4 100% 120 $1.2k (exactly $1,199) JustWallWireHead Games
スローライフサバイバー/SlowLife Survivor $6.99 5 0% 150 $1.0k (exactly $1,048) MIZUBLUE GAMES
No One's Island · EA $0.99 6 100% 180 $178 (exactly $178) Rinthis Arathis
Otherwise $3.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) MonstrCorp
Plucked Up $2.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) RavenCrestStudios

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.