Do I ship it?

GamesCreature CollectorCreature Collector + Cooking

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Cooking Creature Collector?

Creature Collector + Cooking

Only 19 developers shipped a Cooking Creature Collector in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Creature Kitchen, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 58 more are announced, ×4.5 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $12k, ×19 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $600; 1 in 20 cleared $2.1M, ×3453 the market median. Revenue is down 60% on the market; 58 games are announced against 13 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 18.7 times the market baseline, revenue down 60% on the market, 58 announced, ×4.5 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Creature Collector + Cooking
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 19
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $539 → $28k → $12k → $31k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Creature Collector + Cooking: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 19
Bottom 30% $597 (exactly $597)
Median $12k (exactly $11,731)
Top 25% $164k (exactly $163,578)
Top 5% $2.2M (exactly $2,168,326)
Developers, 2 yr 19
Released games 34
Announced 58
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 60% on the market, supply 115% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 12%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Creature Collector
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Cooking
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Creature Collector, Cooking; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry RPG, Simulation, Fishing
Price point
$9.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.90 or above
Art
6 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Cute, Pixel Graphics, Relaxing
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.90 or above; the middle game at $9.99.

The top 10 games average 95% positive over 14,940 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $600, median $12k, 1 in 4 over $160k, 1 in 20 over $2.1M.

3 in 10 developers made under $600. 6 in 10 of the 7 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 58 games are announced against 13 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.5 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Creature Collector with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Perma DeathFair30 devs · median $5.3k · 33 announced
  2. + Bullet HellFair24 devs · median $3.4k · 33 announced
  3. + CapitalismFair38 devs · median $3.2k · 38 announced
  4. + LootFair51 devs · median $2.9k · 67 announced
  5. + IdlerFair248 devs · median $2.1k · 260 announced
  6. + IncrementalFair177 devs · median $1.9k · 191 announced
  7. + Action RoguelikeFair39 devs · median $1.8k · 54 announced
  8. + SpaceFair30 devs · median $1.5k · 39 announced
  9. + ZombiesFair14 devs · median $1.5k · 10 announced
  10. + ArcadeFair73 devs · median $629 · 85 announced
  11. + Co-opPoor odds31 devs · median $28k · 82 announced
  12. + Dating SimPoor odds14 devs · median $23k · 43 announced

All 133 pairs on the Creature Collector page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Moonstone Island older $19.99 4,063 84% 122k $2.4M (exactly $2,436,581) Studio Supersoft
Creature Kitchen $7.99 9,046 99% 271k $2.2M (exactly $2,168,326) The Rat Zone
Ooblets older $29.99 1,388 91% 42k $1.2M (exactly $1,248,784) Glumberland
Bloomtown: A Different Story $24.99 1,428 85% 43k $1.1M (exactly $1,070,572) Lazy Bear Games, Different Sense Games
Moonglow Bay older $24.99 679 66% 20k $509k (exactly $509,046) Bunnyhug
Fish to Dish: Idle Sushi $5.99 2,525 96% 76k $454k (exactly $453,742) Kygua Tech
Halcyon Days at Taoyuan $11.99 1,089 89% 33k $392k (exactly $391,713) BotanX
Dragon Song Tavern: Cozy & Adventurous $19.90 274 71% 8.2k $164k (exactly $163,578) Etherous Games Limited
Kamaeru: A Frog Refuge older $19.99 230 86% 6.9k $138k (exactly $137,931) Humble Reeds
Box Bakery $12.99 321 86% 9.6k $125k (exactly $125,094) mangobox games
GladiEATers · EA $14.99 69 92% 2.1k $31k (exactly $31,029) MilkBubblesGames
Galactic Getaway: Build a Home for Pets · EA $14.99 62 61% 1.9k $28k (exactly $27,881) Akrew
Skystead Ranch $24.99 28 71% 840 $21k (exactly $20,992) ToastieLabs
Songs of Yummy $3.99 98 74% 2.9k $12k (exactly $11,731) DreamStep, FUTU Studio

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.