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Should I ship a Conspiracy Walking Simulator?
Walking Simulator + Conspiracy
Of 36 developers who shipped a Conspiracy Walking Simulator in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 63 more are announced, ×2.9 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $2.2k, ×4.5 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $480; 1 in 20 cleared $160k, ×351 the market median. Revenue is up 30% on the market; 63 games are announced against 22 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $479 (exactly $479) |
|---|---|
| Median | $2.2k (exactly $2,156) |
| Top 25% | $7.2k (exactly $7,193) |
| Top 5% | $167k (exactly $166,839) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 36 |
| Released games | 95 |
| Announced | 63 |
| Effort | 4 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $4.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 30% on the market, supply 55% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 15%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Walking Simulator
- effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
- Conspiracy
- effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
What it takes
- Effort
- 4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
- Systems
- Walking Simulator; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, Exploration, Investigation
- Price point
- $4.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
- Art
- 5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with First-Person, 3D, Atmospheric
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.
The top 10 games average 85% positive over 1,869 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $480. 8 in 10 of the 20 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 63 games are announced against 22 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.9 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Walking Simulator with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + FMVStrong odds
- + WarFair
- + RomanceFair
- + Escape RoomFair
- + ThrillerFair
- + MusicFair
- + SupernaturalFair
- + Psychological HorrorFair
- + PsychologicalFair
- + IdlerFair
- + Mystery DungeonFair
- + NoirFair
Comparable games
The Bridge Curse 2: The Extrication 2024 · $1.9M 
NUTS 2021 · $663k 
Radiolight 2025 · $186k 
Broken Reality 2000 2026 · $167k 
Tested on Humans: Escape Room 2021 · $130k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | The Bridge Curse 2: The Extrication | older | $24.99 | 2,493 93% | 75k | $1.9M (exactly $1,869,002) | SOFTSTAR ENTERTAINMENT |
| | NUTS | older | $24.99 | 884 88% | 27k | $663k (exactly $662,735) | Joon, Pol, Muutsch, Char & Torfi |
| | Radiolight | $14.99 | 414 90% | 12k | $186k (exactly $186,176) | Krystof Knesl | |
| | Broken Reality 2000 | $14.99 | 371 76% | 11k | $167k (exactly $166,839) | Dynamic Media Triad | |
| | Tested on Humans: Escape Room | older | $9.99 | 434 87% | 13k | $130k (exactly $130,070) | mc2games |
 | Pyramids and Aliens: Escape Room | $12.99 | 191 81% | 5.7k | $74k (exactly $74,433) | mc2games | |
 | Unearthed: Trail of Ibn Battuta - Episode 1 - Gold Edition | older | $4.99 | 481 60% | 14k | $72k (exactly $72,006) | Semaphore |
 | Regular Factory: Escape Room | older | $9.99 | 210 91% | 6.3k | $63k (exactly $62,937) | mc2games |
 | Gnomes and Knights | $4.99 | 372 77% | 11k | $56k (exactly $55,688) | Terletski Games | |
 | 11F | older | $8.99 | 173 82% | 5.2k | $47k (exactly $46,658) | PUMPKIM |
 | LAN Party Adventures | $14.99 | 93 89% | 2.8k | $42k (exactly $41,822) | LEAP Game Studios | |
 | Call of the Golden Valley | $19.99 | 43 86% | 1.3k | $26k (exactly $25,787) | O'Saurus Studios | |
 | Colony 37 | · EA | $2.99 | 224 95% | 6.7k | $20k (exactly $20,093) | Valen |
 | A taste of home | $2.99 | 90 94% | 2.7k | $8.1k (exactly $8,073) | KuroGameMaker | |
 | Jason Maxx | $9.99 | 24 91% | 720 | $7.2k (exactly $7,193) | Nabos Studios | |
 | Project Looking Glass | $4.99 | 47 100% | 1.4k | $7.0k (exactly $7,036) | MORPH |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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