Do I ship it?

GamesWalking SimulatorWalking Simulator + Psychological

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Psychological Walking Simulator?

Walking Simulator + Psychological

Of 442 developers who shipped a Psychological Walking Simulator in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 552 more are announced.

Verdict: fair, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.7k, ×3.5 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, with 3 in 10 under $540. Revenue is down 10% on the market; 552 games are announced against 278 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 3.5 times the market baseline, revenue down 10% on the market, 552 announced, ×2.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Walking Simulator + Psychological
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 442
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $7.4k → $2.7k → $3.1k → $3.2k → $2.7k → $2.0k → $1.8k (still earning) → $838 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Walking Simulator + Psychological: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 442
Bottom 30% $538 (exactly $538)
Median $1.7k (exactly $1,676)
Top 25% $7.8k (exactly $7,792)
Top 5% $61k (exactly $61,222)
Developers, 2 yr 442
Released games 1,036
Announced 552
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 10% on the market, supply 45% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 11%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Walking Simulator
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Psychological
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Walking Simulator; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, Exploration
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $8.99 or above
Art
7 in 10 of the top 25% ship with First-Person, Atmospheric, Realistic
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $8.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 90% positive over 55,194 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $540, median $1.7k, 1 in 4 over $7.7k, 1 in 20 over $61k.

3 in 10 developers made under $540. 8 in 10 of the 242 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 552 games are announced against 278 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Walking Simulator with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + FMVStrong odds13 devs · median $5.8k · 9 announced
  2. + WarFair10 devs · median $5.1k · 12 announced
  3. + RomanceFair36 devs · median $3.5k · 38 announced
  4. + Escape RoomFair38 devs · median $2.7k · 25 announced
  5. + ThrillerFair449 devs · median $2.7k · 499 announced
  6. + MusicFair16 devs · median $2.1k · 20 announced
  7. + SupernaturalFair297 devs · median $1.8k · 354 announced
  8. + Psychological HorrorFair1,043 devs · median $1.7k · 1,251 announced
  9. + IdlerFair38 devs · median $1.7k · 41 announced
  10. + Mystery DungeonFair34 devs · median $1.6k · 35 announced
  11. + NoirFair44 devs · median $1.5k · 52 announced
  12. + HorrorFair1,169 devs · median $1.5k · 1,331 announced

All 145 pairs on the Walking Simulator page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Hellblade: Senua's Sacrifice older $29.99 66,788 90% 2.0M $60M (exactly $60,089,164) Ninja Theory
To the Moon older $9.99 69,549 95% 2.1M $21M (exactly $20,843,835) Freebird Games
The Stanley Parable older $14.99 40,292 92% 1.2M $18M (exactly $18,119,312) Galactic Cafe
Hellblade II: Senua’s Saga older $49.99 9,381 86% 281k $14M (exactly $14,068,686) Ninja Theory
Mouthwashing $12.99 34,353 95% 1.0M $13M (exactly $13,387,364) Wrong Organ
The Medium older $49.99 7,485 88% 225k $11M (exactly $11,225,254) Bloober Team
Before Your Eyes older $9.99 21,236 97% 637k $6.4M (exactly $6,364,429) GoodbyeWorld Games, Nice Dream
The Beginner's Guide older $9.99 19,902 88% 597k $6.0M (exactly $5,964,629) Everything Unlimited Ltd.
Blair Witch older $29.99 6,489 78% 195k $5.8M (exactly $5,838,153) Bloober Team SA
INDIKA older $24.99 7,034 89% 211k $5.3M (exactly $5,273,390) Odd Meter
KARMA: The Dark World $24.99 3,963 90% 119k $3.0M (exactly $2,971,061) POLLARD STUDIO LLC
Fears to Fathom® - Scratch Creek $7.99 7,141 75% 214k $1.7M (exactly $1,711,698) Rayll
Luto $19.99 1,225 85% 37k $735k (exactly $734,632) Broken Bird Games
One-Eyed Likho $19.99 1,155 93% 35k $693k (exactly $692,654) Morteshka
Amenti $6.99 2,184 80% 66k $458k (exactly $457,985) Darkphobia Games
While We Wait Here $4.99 2,344 89% 70k $351k (exactly $350,897) Bad Vices Games
Dead Take $14.99 752 87% 23k $338k (exactly $338,174) Surgent Studios
Don't Play This $8.99 996 85% 30k $269k (exactly $268,621) Admia, a1esska, Notex
The Lightkeeper $7.99 1,081 81% 32k $259k (exactly $259,116) Darkphobia Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.